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In this paper, we present a change point detection method for detecting change points in multivariate nonstationary wind speed time series. The change point method identifies changes in the covariance structure and decomposes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Sakitha Ariyarathne , Harsha Gangammanavar , Raanju R. Sundararajan

This paper presents an innovative extension of spatial autoregressive (SAR) models, introducing spatial coefficients specific to each spatial region that evolve over time. The proposed estimation methodology covers both homoscedastic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 N. A. Cruz , D. A. Romero , O. O. Melo

This work is concerned with the study of the adaptivity properties of nonparametric regression estimators over the $d$-dimensional sphere within the global thresholding framework. The estimators are constructed by means of a form of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-27 Claudio Durastanti

This paper studies the sparse identification problem of unknown sparse parameter vectors in stochastic dynamic systems. Firstly, a novel sparse identification algorithm is proposed, which can generate sparse estimates based on least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Ziming Wang , Xinghua Zhu

This paper proposes a new approach for change point detection in multivariate Hawkes processes using Fr\'echet statistic of a network. The method splits the point process into overlapping windows, estimates kernel matrices in each window,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Rui Luo , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

Many astrophysical phenomena are time-varying, in the sense that their intensity, energy spectrum, and/or the spatial distribution of the emission suddenly change. This paper develops a method for modeling a time series of images. Under the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Cong Xu , Hans Moritz Günther , Vinay L. Kashyap , Thomas C. M. Lee , Andreas Zezas

Spatial classification with limited feature observations has been a challenging problem in machine learning. The problem exists in applications where only a subset of sensors are deployed at certain spots or partial responses are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Arpan Man Sainju , Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Da Yan , Haiquan Chen

While seasonality inherent to raw macroeconomic data is commonly removed by seasonal adjustment techniques before it is used for structural inference, this may distort valuable information in the data. As an alternative method to commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Daniel Dzikowski , Carsten Jentsch

Change detection is an important synthetic aperture radar (SAR) application, usually used to detect changes on the ground scene measurements in different moments in time. Traditionally, change detection algorithm (CDA) is mainly designed…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-07 B. G. Palm , D. I. Alves , V. T. Vu , M. I. Pettersson , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra , R. Machado , P. Dammert , H. Hellsten

We generalize the classic change-point problem to a "change-set" framework: a spatial Poisson process changes its intensity on an unobservable random set. Optimal detection of the set is defined by maximizing the expected value of a gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 B. Gail Ivanoff , Ely Merzbach

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

With the development of astronomical facilities, large-scale time series data observed by these facilities is being collected. Analyzing anomalies in these astronomical observations is crucial for uncovering potential celestial events and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Xinli Hao , Yile Chen , Chen Yang , Zhihui Du , Chaohong Ma , Chao Wu , Xiaofeng Meng

Enabling fast and accurate physical simulations with data has become an important area of computational physics to aid in inverse problems, design-optimization, uncertainty quantification, and other various decision-making applications.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 William Fries , Xiaolong He , Youngsoo Choi

When observations are curves over some natural time interval, the field of functional data analysis comes into play. Functional linear processes account for temporal dependence in the data. The prediction problem for functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Johannes Klepsch , Claudia Klüppelberg

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

We develop a novel methodology for detecting abrupt break points in mean functions of functional time series, adaptable to arbitrary sampling schemes. By employing B-spline smoothing, we introduce $\mathcal L_{\infty}$ and $\mathcal L_2$…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Leheng Cai , Qirui Hu

Effect modification occurs when the effect of the treatment on an outcome differs according to the level of a third variable (the effect modifier, EM). A natural way to assess effect modification is by subgroup analysis or include the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Asma Bahamyirou , Mireille E. Schnitzer , Edward H. Kennedy , Lucie Blais , Yi Yang