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Related papers: Tolerance Intervals Using Dirichlet Processes

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For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

We investigate the statistical methods applied throughout safety analysis of complex systems. The tolerance interval method implemented in the widely utilized 0.95|0.95 methodology is analyzed. We point out a remarkable weakness of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-07 Lenard Pal , Mihaly Makai

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

Iterative numerical algorithms are typically equipped with a stopping criterion, where the iteration process is terminated when some error or misfit measure is deemed to be below a given tolerance. This is a useful setting for comparing…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2014-12-04 Uri Ascher , Farbod Roosta-Khorasani

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. Prior specification is, however, relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

The hierarchical Dirichlet process is a discrete random measure used as a prior in Bayesian nonparametrics and motivated by the study of groups of clustered data. We study the asymptotic behavior of the power sum symmetric polynomials for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Shui Feng , J. E. Paguyo

Within an industrial manufacturing process, tolerancing is a key player. The dimensions uncertainties management starts during the design phase, with an assessment on variability of parts not yet produced. For one assembly step, we can gain…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-20 Ambre Diet , Nicolas Couellan , Xavier Gendre , Julien Martin

A family of random probabilities is defined and studied. This family contains the Dirichlet process as a special case, corresponding to an inner point in the appropriate parameter space. The extension makes it possible to have random means…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nils Lid Hjort

The hierarchical Dirichlet process is the cornerstone of Bayesian nonparametric multilevel models. Its generative model can be described through a set of latent variables, commonly referred to as tables within the popular restaurant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Marta Catalano , Claudio Del Sole

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

The tolerancing step has a great importance in the design process. It characterises the relationship between the different sectors of the product life cycle: Design, Manufacturing and Control. We can distinguish several methods to assist…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-02-16 Abdessalem Hassani , Nizar Aifaoui , Abdelmajid Benamara , Serge Samper

We present a method for identification of models with good predictive performances in the family of Bayesian log-linear mixed models with Dirichlet process random effects. Such a problem arises in many different applications; here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Silvia Polettini

When analyzing data from multiple sources, it is often convenient to strike a careful balance between two goals: capturing the heterogeneity of the samples and sharing information across them. We introduce a novel framework to model a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Laura D'Angelo , Bernardo Nipoti , Andrea Ongaro

Making a product conform to the functional requirements indicated by the customer suppose to be able to manage the manufacturing process chosen to realise the parts. A simulation step is generally performed to verify that the expected…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-11-15 Frédéric Vignat , François Villeneuve

The Dirichlet process (DP) is a fundamental mathematical tool for Bayesian nonparametric modeling, and is widely used in tasks such as density estimation, natural language processing, and time series modeling. Although MCMC inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-09 Dan Lovell , Jonathan Malmaud , Ryan P. Adams , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. However, due to the flexibility of these models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Large Language Models (LLMs) often exhibit misalignment between the quality of their generated responses and the confidence estimates they assign to them. Bayesian treatments, such as marginalizing over a reliable weight posterior or over…