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The widespread adoption of online randomized controlled experiments (A/B Tests) for decision-making has created ongoing capacity constraints which necessitate interim analyses. As a consequence, platform users are increasingly motivated to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Abbas Zaidi , Rina Friedberg , Samir Khan , Yao-Yang Leow , Maulik Soneji , Houssam Nassif , Richard Mudd

The compound Poisson process and the Dirichlet process are the pillar structures of Renewal theory and Bayesian nonparametric theory, respectively. Both processes have many useful extensions to fulfill the practitioners needs to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-17 Arrigo Coen , Beatriz Godínez-Chaparro

In this paper, we develop interval estimation methods for means of bounded random variables based on a sequential procedure such that the sampling is continued until the sample sum is no less than a prescribed threshold.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-07 Xinjia Chen

Time-to-event endpoints are central to evaluate treatment efficacy across many disease areas. Many trial protocols include interim analyses within group-sequential designs that control type I error via spending functions or boundary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Edoardo Ratti , Federico L. Perlino , Stefania Galimberti , Maria G. Valsecchi

In this paper, we discuss the non-collapsibility concept and propose a new approach based on Dirichlet process mixtures to estimate the conditional effect of covariates in non-collapsible models. Using synthetic data, we evaluate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Sepehr Akhavan Masouleh , Babak Shahbaba , Daniel L. Gillen

Recent years have experienced increasing utilization of complex machine learning models across multiple sources of data to inform more generalizable decision-making. However, distribution shifts across data sources and privacy concerns…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Sharon-Lise Normand , Larry Han

One of the most significant barriers to medication treatment is patients' non-adherence to a prescribed medication regimen. The extent of the impact of poor adherence on resulting health measures is often unknown, and typical analyses…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-04 Luis F. Campos , Mark E. Glickman , Kristen B. Hunter

Being able to rigorously quantify the uncertainties in reaction models is crucial to moving this field forward. Even though Bayesian methods are becoming increasingly popular in nuclear theory, they are yet to be implemented and applied in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-07-18 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

Interval estimation of quantiles has been treated by many in the literature. However, to the best of our knowledge there has been no consideration for interval estimation when the data are available in grouped format. Motivated by this, we…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-08 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast

Especially when facing reliability data with limited information (e.g., a small number of failures), there are strong motivations for using Bayesian inference methods. These include the option to use information from physics-of-failure or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Qinglong Tian , Colin Lewis-Beck , Jarad Niemi , William Meeker

Directional data require specialized probability models because of the non-Euclidean and periodic nature of their domain. When a directional variable is observed jointly with linear variables, modeling their dependence adds an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Tong Zou , Hal S. Stern

Many modern experiments, such as microarray gene expression and genome-wide association studies, present the problem of estimating a large number of parallel effects. Bayesian inference is a popular approach for analyzing such data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 J G Liao , Arthur Berg , Timothy L McMurry

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

To understand biological diversification, it is important to account for large-scale processes that affect the evolutionary history of groups of co-distributed populations of organisms. Such events predict temporally clustered divergences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-11 Jamie R. Oaks

We extend in two directions our previous results about the sampling and the empirical measures of immortal branching Markov processes. Direct applications to molecular biology are rigorous estimates of the mutation rates of polymerase chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

It is shown that a simple Dirichlet process mixture of multivariate normals offers Bayesian density estimation with adaptive posterior convergence rates. Toward this, a novel sieve for non-parametric mixture densities is explored, and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-18 Surya T. Tokdar

This article introduces methods for constructing prediction bounds or intervals for the number of future failures from heterogeneous reliability field data. We focus on within-sample prediction where early data from a failure-time process…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Colin Lewis-Beck , Qinglong Tian , William Q. Meeker
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