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This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

Change point analysis has become an important research topic in many fields of applications. Several research work has been carried out to detect changes and its locations in time series data. In this paper, a nonparametric method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning

This paper develops a statistical framework for goodness-of-fit testing of volatility functions in McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations, which describe large systems of interacting particles with distribution-dependent dynamics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Akram Heidari , Mark Podolskij

In this paper we introduce a novel approach for an important problem of break detection. Specifically, we are interested in detection of an abrupt change in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional random process -- a problem, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Valeriy Avanesov , Nazar Buzun

We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

We consider parametric estimation for a second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) in two space dimensions driven by a $Q$-Wiener process with a small noise based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

We study parametric estimation for second order linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) in two space dimensions driven by two types of $Q$-Wiener processes based on high frequency spatio-temporal data. First, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

In random matrix theory, the spectral distribution of the covariance matrix has been well studied under the large dimensional asymptotic regime when the dimensionality and the sample size tend to infinity at the same rate. However, most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Qiang Liu , Yiming Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

We study the short-time dynamics (STD) of the Vicsek model with vector noise. The study of STD has proved to be very useful in the determination of the critical point, critical exponents, and spinodal points in equilibrium phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-29 M. Leticia Rubio Puzzo , Ernesto S. Loscar , Andres De Virgiliis , Tomas S. Grigera

We propose a novel Bayesian framework for changepoint detection in large-scale spherical spatiotemporal data, with broad applicability in environmental and climate sciences. Our approach models changepoints as spatially dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Samantha Shi-Jun , Bo Li

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

We analyse a second-order SPDE model in multiple space dimensions and develop estimators for the parameters of this model based on discrete observations of a solution in time and space on a bounded domain. While parameter estimation for one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Patrick Bossert

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

From a sequence of similarity networks, with edges representing certain similarity measures between nodes, we are interested in detecting a change-point which changes the statistical property of the networks. After the change, a subset of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Shanshan Cao , Yao Xie

The 3DVAR filter is prototypical of methods used to combine observed data with a dynamical system, online, in order to improve estimation of the state of the system. Such methods are used for high dimensional data assimilation problems,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-11 D. Bloemker , K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart , K. C. Zygalakis

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar
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