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Related papers: Equitable Longevity Risk Sharing or, the raison d'…

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This paper investigates the impact of Social Discount Rate (SDR) choice on intergenerational equity issues caused by Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) projects. Indeed, more PPPs mean more debt being accumulated for future generations…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-25 Abeer Al Yaqoobi , Marcel Ausloos

Using unique research data, we investigate disability retirement risk under the statutory public sector pension scheme in Finland. The statistical analysis yields two indicators: risk for upcoming permanent disability pension and critical…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Petra Sohlman , Risto Louhi , Janne Salonen

This paper examines the retirement decision, optimal investment, and consumption strategies under an age-dependent force of mortality. We formulate the optimization problem as a combined stochastic control and optimal stopping problem with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Giorgio Ferrari , Shihao Zhu

The equity risk premium puzzle is that the return on equities has far exceeded the average return on short-term risk-free debt and cannot be explained by conventional representative-agent consumption based equilibrium models. We review a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-18 Ravi Kashyap

In this article we solve the problem of maximizing the expected utility of future consumption and terminal wealth to determine the optimal pension or life-cycle fund strategy for a cohort of pension fund investors. The setup is strongly…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-03 Andreas Lichtenstern , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Rudi Zagst

Evidence shows that the labor participation rate of retirement age cohorts is non-negligible, and it is a widespread phenomenon globally. In the United States, the labor force participation rate for workers age 75 and older is projected to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-10 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman , Traian A. Pirvu , Petar Jevtić

The new era of large-scale data collection and analysis presents an opportunity for diagnosing and understanding the causes of health inequities. In this study, we describe a framework for systematically analyzing health disparities using…

Demographic changes increase the necessity to base the pension system more and more on the second and the third pillar, namely the occupational and private pension plans; this paper deals with Target Date Funds (TDFs), which are a typical…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Frank Bosserhoff , An Chen , Nils Sorensen , Mitja Stadje

Machine learning models in high-stakes applications, such as recidivism prediction and automated personnel selection, often exhibit systematic performance disparities across sensitive subpopulations, raising critical concerns regarding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Jie Tang , Chuanlong Xie , Xianli Zeng , Lixing Zhu

As the developed world replaces Defined Benefit (DB) pension plans with Defined Contribution (DC) plans, there is a need to develop decumulation strategies for DC plan holders. Optimal decumulation can be viewed as a problem in optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Peter A. Forsyth , Yuying Li

Money-back guarantees (MBGs) are features of pooled retirement income products that address bequest concerns by ensuring the initial premium is returned through lifetime payments or, upon early death, as a death benefit to the estate. This…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-19 German Nova Orozco , Duy-Minh Dang , Peter A. Forsyth

This paper examines the effects of the 2019 universalization of Mexico's Social Pension Program (PAM), one of the country's most expansive and politically salient social programs. The reform simultaneously increased the cash transfer and…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-17 Oscar Galvez-Soriano , Raymundo Ramirez Peralta

The Australian Government uses the means-test as a way of managing the pension budget. Changes in Age Pension policy impose difficulties in retirement modelling due to policy risk, but any major changes tend to be `grandfathered' meaning…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-28 Johan G. Andreasson , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Aggregated health data such as claims data from health insurances become more and more available for research purposes. Estimates of excess mortality from prevalence and incidence of a chronic condition have only been possible for ages 50…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Ralph Brinks

Brazil is the 5th largest country in the world, despite of having a ``High Human Development'' it is the 9th most unequal country. The existing Brazilian micro pension programme is one of the safety nets for poor people. To become eligible…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-20 Renata Gomes Alcoforado , Alfredo D. Egídio dos Reis

We employ stochastic dynamic microsimulations to analyse and forecast the pension cost dependency ratio for England and Wales from 1991 to 2061, evaluating the impact of the ongoing state pension reforms and changes in international…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-26 Agnieszka Werpachowska

As the ageing population and childlessness are increasing in rural China, social pensions will become the mainstream choice for farmers, and the level of social pensions must be supported by better social insurance. The paper compares the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-05 Tao Xu

In life insurance, life tables are used to estimate the survival distribution of individuals from a given population. However, these tables only provide survival probabilities at integer ages but no information about the distribution of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 Jean-Loup Dupret , Edouard Motte

This paper examines optimal risk sharing for empirically realistic risk attitudes, providing results on Pareto optimality, competitive equilibria, utility frontiers, and the first and second theorems of welfare. Contrary to common…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-06 Jean-Gabriel Lauzier , Liyuan Lin , Peter Wakker , Ruodu Wang

Insurance and annuity products covering several lives require the modelling of the joint distribution of future lifetimes. In the interest of simplifying calculations, it is common in practice to assume that the future lifetimes among a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-19 François Dufresne , Enkelejd Hashorva , Gildas Ratovomirija , Youssouf Toukourou