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Related papers: Equitable Longevity Risk Sharing or, the raison d'…

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We mathematically demonstrate how and what it means for two collective pension funds to mutually insure one another against systematic longevity risk. The key equation that facilitates the exchange of insurance is a market clearing…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 John Armstrong , James Dalby

A risk of small defined-benefit pension schemes is that there are too few members to eliminate idiosyncratic mortality risk, that is there are too few members to effectively pool mortality risk. This means that when there are few members in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-31 Catherine Donnelly

In this paper, we develop a deep neural network approach to solve a lifetime expected mortality-weighted utility-based model for optimal consumption in the decumulation phase of a defined contribution pension system. We formulate this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-28 Wen Chen , Nicolas Langrené

Healthcare programs such as Medicaid provide crucial services to vulnerable populations, but due to limited resources, many of the individuals who need these services the most languish on waiting lists. Survival models, e.g. the Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Kamrun Naher Keya , Rashidul Islam , Shimei Pan , Ian Stockwell , James R. Foulds

We study the effects of non-systematic and systematic mortality risks on the required initial capital in a pension plan, in the presence of financial risks. We discover that for a pension plan with few members the impact of pooling on the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-01 Helena Aro

Increasing every year the retirement age by the same amount as the increase of the life expectancy gives roughly stable ratios of the number of retired to working-age people in industrialized countries. Continuous influx of immigrants,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. S. Sa Martins , D. Stauffer

Currently, pension providers are running into trouble mainly due to the ultra-low interest rates and the guarantees associated to some pension benefits. With the aim of reducing the pension volatility and providing adequate pension levels…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-07 M. Carmen Boado-Penas , Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

Pension schemes all over the world are under increasing pressure to efficiently hedge the longevity risk posed by ageing populations. In this work, we study an optimal investment problem for a defined contribution pension scheme which…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-22 Ankush Agarwal , Christian-Oliver Ewald , Yongjie Wang

This paper examines the impact of the New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS) in China. Exploiting the staggered implementation of an NRPS policy expansion that began in 2009, we use a difference-in-difference approach to study the effects of the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-08 Plamen Nikolov , Alan Adelman

We use life annuity prices to extract information about human longevity using a framework that links the term structure of mortality and interest rates. We invert the model and perform nonlinear least squares to obtain implied longevity…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 Moshe A. Milevsky , Thomas S. Salisbury , Alexander Chigodaev

The Health and Retirement Study is a longitudinal study of US adults enrolled at age 50 and older. We were interested in investigating the effect of a sudden large decline in wealth on the cognitive score of subjects. Our analysis was…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Lindsay R. Pool , Michael R. Elliott

An essential input of annuity pricing is the future retiree mortality. From observed age-specific mortality data, modeling and forecasting can be taken place in two routes. On the one hand, we can first truncate the available data to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-21 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

The aim of this paper is to propose a realistic and operational model to quantify the systematic risk of mortality included in an engagement of retirement. The model presented is built on the basis of model of Lee-Carter. The stochastic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Frédéric Planchet , Marc Juillard

The stability of income payments in a pooled annuity fund is studied. In those funds, members receive a fluctuating income depending on their experienced mortality in exchange for their pension savings. The focus is on describing the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-12 Thomas Bernhardt , Ge Qu

We introduce a new pension product that offers retirees the opportunity for a lifelong income and a bequest for their estate. Based on a tontine mechanism, the product divides pension savings between a tontine account and a bequest account.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Thomas Bernhardt , Catherine Donnelly

In a collectivised pension fund, investors agree that any money remaining in the fund when they die can be shared among the survivors. We compute analytically the optimal investment-consumption strategy for a fund of $n$ identical investors…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 John Armstrong , Cristin Buescu

This paper examines the optimal annuitization, investment and consumption strategies of a utility-maximizing retiree facing a stochastic time of death under a variety of institutional restrictions. We focus on the impact of aging on the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Moshe A. Milevsky , Virginia R. Young

In order to deal with the aging problem, pension system is actively transformed into the funded scheme. However, the funded scheme does not completely replace PAYGO (Pay as You Go) scheme and there exist heterogeneous mixes among PAYGO, EET…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-21 Lin He , Zongxia Liang , Zhaojie Ren , Yilun Song

Optimal investment strategies of an individual worker during the accumulation phase in the defined contribution pension scheme have been well studied in the literature. Most of them adopted the classical backward model and approach, but any…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Kenneth Tsz Hin Ng , Wing Fung Chong

If individuals at the highest mortality risk are also least likely to lapse a life insurance policy, then lapse-supported premiums magnify adverse selection costs. As an example, we model 'Term to 100' contracts, and risk as revealed by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 Oytun Haçarız , Torsten Kleinow , Angus S. Macdonald