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The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

In this paper, we propose a progressive Bayesian procedure, where the measurement information is continuously included into the given prior estimate (although we perform observations at discrete time steps). The key idea is to derive a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-03 Uwe D. Hanebeck , Jannik Steinbring

In this paper we propose a new deterministic approximation method, called discretization approximation, for Bayesian computation. Discretization approximation is very simple to understand and to implement, It only requires calculating…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-13 Shifeng Xiong

1. Understanding the mechanisms underlying biological systems, and ultimately, predicting their behaviours in a changing environment requires overcoming the gap between mathematical models and experimental or observational data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-19 Philipp H Boersch-Supan , Sadie J Ryan , Leah R Johnson

We present a novel approach that redefines the traditional interpretation of explicit and implicit discretization methods for solving a general class of advection-diffusion equations (ADEs) featuring nonlinear advection, diffusion…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Amin Jafarimoghaddam , Manuel Soler , Irene Ortiz

Most ordinary differential equation (ODE) models used to describe biological or physical systems must be solved approximately using numerical methods. Perniciously, even those solvers which seem sufficiently accurate for the forward…

This paper presents a strategy for a posteriori error estimation for substructured problems solved by non-overlapping domain decomposition methods. We focus on global estimates of the discretization error obtained through the error in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-03 Augustin Parret-Fréaud , Christian Rey , Pierre Gosselet , Frédéric Feyel

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to characterize the dynamics of complex systems in real applications. In this article, we propose a novel joint estimation approach for generalized sparse additive ODEs where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Nan Zhang , Muye Nanshan , Jiguo Cao

In this paper, we consider effective discretization strategies and iterative solvers for nonlinear PDE-constrained optimization models for pattern evolution within biological processes. Upon a Sequential Quadratic Programming linearization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Karolína Benková , John W. Pearson , Mariya Ptashnyk

This paper presents a new discretization error quantification method for the numerical integration of ordinary differential equations. The error is modelled by using the Wishart distribution, which enables us to capture the correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Naoki Marumo , Takeru Matsuda , Yuto Miyatake

This article presents a Bayesian inferential method where the likelihood for a model is unknown but where data can easily be simulated from the model. We discretize simulated (continuous) data to estimate the implicit likelihood in a…

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

The use of numerical simulation for prediction of characteristics of chaotic dynamical systems inherently involves unpredictable processes. In this work, we develop a model for the expected error in the simulation of ergodic, chaotic ODE…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Cory Frontin , David Darmofal

In this paper we address the problem of discretization in the context of learning Bayesian networks (BNs) from data containing both continuous and discrete variables. We describe a new technique for <EM>multivariate</EM> discretization,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Stefano Monti , Gregory F. Cooper

Differential Equation (DE) is a commonly used modeling method in various scientific subjects such as finance and biology. The parameters in DE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-24 Ying Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

This paper contains an error analysis of two randomized explicit Runge-Kutta schemes for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with time-irregular coefficient functions. In particular, the methods are applicable to ODEs of Carath\'eodory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Raphael Kruse , Yue Wu

We study the problem of estimating the coefficients in linear ordinary differential equations (ODE's) with a diverging number of variables when the solutions are observed with noise. The solution trajectories are first smoothed with local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-29 Heng Lian

Rigorous assessment of uncertainty is crucial to the utility of DNS results. Uncertainties in the computed statistics arise from two sources: finite statistical sampling and the discretization of the Navier-Stokes equations. Due to the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-17 Todd A. Oliver , Nicholas Malaya , Rhys Ulerich , Robert D. Moser

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

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