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There is resurging interest, in statistics and machine learning, in solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that return probability measures instead of point estimates. Recently, Conrad et al. introduced a sampling-based class of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Hans Kersting , Philipp Hennig

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is widely used in modeling biological and physical processes in science. In this article, we propose a new reproducing kernel-based approach for estimation and inference of ODE given noisy observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Xiaowu Dai , Lexin Li

We consider inverse problems estimating distributed parameters from indirect noisy observations through discretization of continuum models described by partial differential or integral equations. It is well understood that the errors…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Albero Bocchinfuso , Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Appropriate time discretization is crucial for real-time applications of numerical optimal control, such as nonlinear model predictive control. However, if the discretization error strongly depends on the applied control input, meeting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Amon Lahr , Filip Tronarp , Nathanael Bosch , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Melanie N. Zeilinger

In this work, we investigate the use of Besov priors in the context of Bayesian inverse problems. The solution to Bayesian inverse problems is the posterior distribution which naturally enables us to interpret the uncertainties. Besov…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Andreas Horst , Babak Maboudi Afkham , Yiqiu Dong , Jakob Lemvig

This paper is concerned with the adaptive numerical treatment of stochastic partial differential equations. Our method of choice is Rothe's method. We use the implicit Euler scheme for the time discretization. Consequently, in each step, an…

Although generative diffusion models (GDMs) are widely used in practice, their theoretical foundations remain limited, especially concerning the impact of different discretization schemes applied to the underlying stochastic differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Emanuel Pfarr , Radu Timofte , Frank Werner

Often the regression function appearing in fields like economics, engineering, biomedical sciences obeys a system of higher order ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The equations are usually not analytically solvable. We are interested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Despite their successes, deep neural networks may make unreliable predictions when faced with test data drawn from a distribution different to that of the training data, constituting a major problem for AI safety. While this has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Erik Daxberger , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

The problem of detecting the Out-of-Distribution (OoD) inputs is of paramount importance for Deep Neural Networks. It has been previously shown that even Deep Generative Models that allow estimating the density of the inputs may not be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Misha Glazunov , Apostolis Zarras

We analyze the behavior of the Euler method for delay differential equations under nonstandard assumptions on the right-hand-side function f, when evaluations of f are corrupted by informational noise. We provide theoretical upper bounds on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Martyna Wiącek

This work develops a class of probabilistic algorithms for the numerical solution of nonlinear, time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Current state-of-the-art PDE solvers treat the space- and time-dimensions separately,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Nicholas Krämer , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

Linear partial differential equations (PDEs) are an important, widely applied class of mechanistic models, describing physical processes such as heat transfer, electromagnetism, and wave propagation. In practice, specialized numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Marvin Pförtner , Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Hennig , Jonathan Wenger

We present a Bayesian model calibration framework for inferring nonlinear constitutive relationships in heat conduction problems, with a focus on temperature-dependent thermal conductivity. The proposed framework integrates gradient-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quarghebeur

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

We propose a machine learning framework to accelerate numerical computations of time-dependent ODEs and PDEs. Our method is based on recasting (generalizations of) existing numerical methods as artificial neural networks, with a set of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Siddhartha Mishra

ODE solvers with randomly sampled timestep sizes appear in the context of chaotic dynamical systems, differential equations with low regularity, and, implicitly, in stochastic optimisation. In this work, we propose and study the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Jonas Latz

Differential equations in general and neural ODEs in particular are an essential technique in continuous-time system identification. While many deterministic learning algorithms have been designed based on numerical integration via the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Lenart Treven , Philippe Wenk , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

Discretization methods for differential-algebraic equations (DAEs) are considered that are based on the integration of an associated inherent ordinary differential equation (ODE). This allows to make use of any discretization scheme…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Peter Kunkel , Volker Mehrmann