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Weather modeling requires both accurate prediction and mechanistic interpretation, yet existing methods treat these goals in isolation, separating generation from understanding. To address this gap, we present Omni-Weather, the first…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Zhiwang Zhou , Yuandong Pu , Xuming He , Yidi Liu , Yixin Chen , Junchao Gong , Xiang Zhuang , Wanghan Xu , Qinglong Cao , Shixiang Tang , Yihao Liu , Wenlong Zhang , Lei Bai

We briefly review some of the scientific challenges and epistemological issues related to climate science. We discuss the formulation and testing of theories and numerical models, which, given the presence of unavoidable uncertainties in…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-03-31 Valerio Lucarini

Future trajectories play an important role across domains such as autonomous driving, hurricane forecasting, and epidemic modeling, where practitioners commonly generate ensemble paths by sampling probabilistic models or leveraging multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Ruipu Li , Daniel Menacho , Alexander Rodríguez

Many socio-economical critical domains (such as sustainability, public health, and disasters) are characterized by highly complex and dynamic systems, requiring data and model-driven simulations to support decision-making. Due to a large…

Internal climate variability arises from the climate system's inherently chaotic dynamics. Quantifying it is essential for climate science, as it enables risk-based decision-making and differentiates between externally forced change and…

Trajectory data play a crucial role in many applications, ranging from network optimization to urban planning. Existing studies on trajectory data are task-specific, and their applicability is limited to the specific tasks on which they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Qingyue Long , Can Rong , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

Diffusion models achieve great success in generating diverse and high-fidelity images, yet their widespread application, especially in real-time scenarios, is hampered by their inherently slow generation speed. The slow generation stems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Shengkun Tang , Yaqing Wang , Caiwen Ding , Yi Liang , Yao Li , Dongkuan Xu

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto

We present a new framework for the assessment and calibration of medium range ensemble temperature forecasts. The method is based on maximising the likelihood of a simple parametric model for the temperature distribution, and leads to some…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Stephen Jewson , Anders Brix , Christine Ziehmann

Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Xiaochong Dong , Yilin Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

A key challenge for computationally intensive state-of-the-art Earth System models is to distinguish global warming signals from interannual variability. Here we introduce DLESyM, a parsimonious deep learning model that accurately simulates…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Nathaniel Cresswell-Clay , Bowen Liu , Dale Durran , Zihui Liu , Zachary I. Espinosa , Raul Moreno , Matthias Karlbauer

A unified diffusion framework for multi-modal generation and understanding has the transformative potential to achieve seamless and controllable image diffusion and other cross-modal tasks. In this paper, we introduce MMGen, a unified…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Jiepeng Wang , Zhaoqing Wang , Hao Pan , Yuan Liu , Dongdong Yu , Changhu Wang , Wenping Wang

Predictions of biodiversity trajectories under climate change are crucial in order to act effectively in maintaining the diversity of species. In many ecological applications, future predictions are made under various global warming…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-19 Matthew Davidow , Cory Merow , Judy Che-Castaldo , Toryn Schafer , Marie-Christine Duker , Derek Corcoran , David Matteson

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

The rare-event sampling problem has long been the central limiting factor in molecular dynamics (MD), especially in biomolecular simulation. Recently, diffusion models such as BioEmu have emerged as powerful equilibrium samplers that…

Probabilistic time-series forecasting enables reliable decision making across many domains. Most forecasting problems have diverse sources of data containing multiple modalities and structures. Leveraging information as well as uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodríguez , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

This study investigates human-computer interface generation based on diffusion models to overcome the limitations of traditional template-based design and fixed rule-driven methods. It first analyzes the key challenges of interface…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Rui Liu , Liuqingqing Yang , Runsheng Zhang , Shixiao Wang

Understanding seasonal climatic conditions is critical for better management of resources such as water, energy and agriculture. Recently, there has been a great interest in utilizing the power of artificial intelligence methods in climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alper Unal , Busra Asan , Ismail Sezen , Bugra Yesilkaynak , Yusuf Aydin , Mehmet Ilicak , Gozde Unal
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