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By incorporating market impact and momentum traders into an agent-based model, we investigate the conditions for the occurrence of self-reinforcing feedback loops and the coevolutionary mechanism of prices and strategies. For low market…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-06 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Rong-Da Chen , Chen-Yang Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Yun-Xing He

We propose a model with heterogeneous interacting traders which can explain some of the stylized facts of stock market returns. In the model synchronization effects, which generate large fluctuations in returns, can arise either from an…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Giulia Iori

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the agent minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Gu Wang

We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato

It is shown that delta hedging provides the optimal trading strategy in terms of minimal required initial capital to replicate a given terminal payoff in a continuous-time Markovian context. This holds true in market models where no…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Johannes Ruf

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Jozef Barunik , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Jan Vecer

Thanks to the access to labeled orders on the Cac40 index future provided by Euronext, we are able to quantify market participants contributions to the volatility in the diffusive limit. To achieve this result we leverage the branching…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-19 Marcello Rambaldi , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Modelling accurately financial price variations is an essential step underlying portfolio allocation optimization, derivative pricing and hedging, fund management and trading. The observed complex price fluctuations guide and constraint our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Arneodo , J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette

Modelling stock prices via jump processes is common in financial markets. In practice, to hedge a contingent claim one typically uses the so-called delta-hedging strategy. This strategy stems from the Black--Merton--Scholes model where it…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 Aleksandar Mijatović , Mikhail Urusov

We present and discuss a stochastic model of financial assets dynamics based on the idea of an inverse renormalization group strategy. With this strategy we construct the multivariate distributions of elementary returns based on the scaling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-20 Marco Zamparo , Fulvio Baldovin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

The standard Black-Scholes theory of option pricing is extended to cope with underlying return fluctuations described by general probability distributions. A Langevin process and its related Fokker-Planck equation are devised to model the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Moriconi

Stochastic feedback systems give rise to a variety of notions of stability. The conditions for the stability of the median, mean, and variance stability conditions differ. These conditions can be stated explicitly for scalar discrete-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-19 Roy S. Smith , Bassam Bamieh

Feedback loops are essential for regulating cell proliferation and maintaining the delicate balance between cell division and cell death. Thanks to the exact solution of a few simple models of cell growth it is by now clear that stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-07 Antonio Francesco Zirattu , Marta Biondo , Matteo Osella , Michele Caselle

-This work addresses output feedback stabilization via event triggered output feedback. In the first part of the paper, linear systems are considered, whereas the second part shows that a dynamic event triggered output feedback control law…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-25 Johan Peralez , Vincent Andrieu , Madiha Nadri , Ulysse Serres

Several phenomena are available representing market activity: volumes, number of trades, durations between trades or quotes, volatility - however measured - all share the feature to be represented as positive valued time series. When…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-14 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo

We propose a non linear Langevin equation as a model for stock market fluctuations and crashes. This equation is based on an identification of the different processes influencing the demand and supply, and their mathematical transcription.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Rama Cont

We study the capability of arbitrage-free neural-SDE market models to yield effective strategies for hedging options. In particular, we derive sensitivity-based and minimum-variance-based hedging strategies using these models and examine…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-01 Samuel N. Cohen , Christoph Reisinger , Sheng Wang