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A growing number of empirical models exhibit set-valued predictions. This paper develops a tractable inference method with finite-sample validity for such models. The proposed procedure uses a robust version of the universal inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-31 Hiroaki Kaido , Yi Zhang

The exponential growth in data sizes and storage costs has brought considerable challenges to the data science community, requiring solutions to run learning methods on such data. While machine learning has scaled to achieve predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Lionel Voirol , Haotian Xu , Yuming Zhang , Luca Insolia , Roberto Molinari , Stéphane Guerrier

In this note, we consider the performance of the classic method of moments for parameter estimation of symmetric variance-gamma (generalized Laplace) distributions. We do this through both theoretical analysis (multivariate delta method)…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Andrey Sarantsev

We consider the problem of estimating the common mean of independently sampled data, where samples are drawn in a possibly non-identical manner from symmetric, unimodal distributions with a common mean. This generalizes the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

I develop a methodology to partially identify linear combinations of conditional mean outcomes when the researcher only has access to aggregate data. Unlike the existing literature, I only allow for marginal, not joint, distributions of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-04 Sarah Moon

Machine learning models are increasingly used to produce predictions that serve as input data in subsequent statistical analyses. For example, computer vision predictions of economic and environmental indicators based on satellite imagery…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Dan M. Kluger , Kerri Lu , Tijana Zrnic , Sherrie Wang , Stephen Bates

We apply random matrix theory to study the impact of measurement uncertainty on dynamic mode decomposition. Specifically, when the measurements follow a normal probability density function, we show how the moments of that density propagate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 P. Algikar , P. Sharma , M. Netto , L. Mili

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

I propose a locally robust semiparametric framework for estimating causal effects using the popular examiner IV design, in the presence of many examiners and possibly many covariates relative to the sample size. The key ingredient of this…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-01 Lonjezo Sithole

A Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) approach is developed and applied in the analysis of the important mean and multiple regression models. Given a single set of data, it is shown how to obtain posterior and…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 Arnold Zellner

Existing identification and estimation methods for semiparametric sample selection models rely heavily on exclusion restrictions. However, it is difficult in practice to find a credible excluded variable that has a correlation with…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-03 Zhewen Pan , Yifan Zhang

In complicated/nonlinear parametric models, it is generally hard to know whether the model parameters are point identified. We provide computationally attractive procedures to construct confidence sets (CSs) for identified sets of full…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Elie Tamer

We consider the problem of guessing the realization of a random variable but under more general Tsallis' non-extensive entropic framework rather than the classical Maxwell-Boltzman-Gibbs-Shannon framework. We consider both the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Abhik Ghosh

A critical literature review and comprehensive simulation study is used to show that (a) non-parametric bootstrap is a viable alternative to commonly taught and used methods in basic estimation tasks (mean, variance, quartiles, correlation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 Urša Zrimšek , Erik Štrumbelj

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen

This paper studies a regularized support function estimator for bounds on components of the parameter vector in the case in which the identified set is a polygon. The proposed regularized estimator has three important properties: (i) it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-26 Bulat Gafarov

Recovering probability measures from moments is a central theme in statistics and optimization. In particular, we focus on the recovery of measures from moments and pseudo-moments, which may come from solving the moment-SOS hierarchy in one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Ruben Karapetyan , Shenyuan Ma , Aleš Wodecki , Jakub Mareček

Regression models that ignore measurement error in predictors may produce highly biased estimates leading to erroneous inferences. It is well known that it is extremely difficult to take measurement error into account in Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Mohammad W. Hattab , David Ruppert

We consider universal inference in variance components models, focusing on settings where the parameter is near or at the boundary of the parameter set. Two cases, which are not handled by existing state-of-the-art methods, are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yiqiao Zhang , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad
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