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Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

A generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator is unreliable for a large number of moment conditions, that is, it is comparable, or larger than the sample size. While classical GMM literature proposes several provisions to this problem,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-11 Masahiro Tanaka

We provide a means of computing and estimating the asymptotic distributions of statistics based on an outer minimization of an inner maximization. Such test statistics, which arise frequently in moment models, are of special interest in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-17 Isaac Loh

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

This paper develops an approach to detect identification failure in moment condition models. This is achieved by introducing a quasi-Jacobian matrix computed as the slope of a linear approximation of the moments on an estimate of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-04 Jean-Jacques Forneron

New estimators for the mean and the covariance function for partially observed functional data are proposed using a detour via the fundamental theorem of calculus. The new estimators allow for a consistent estimation of the mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-01 Dominik Liebl , Stefan Rameseder

A model-free bootstrap procedure for a general class of stationary time series is introduced. The theoretical framework is established, showing asymptotic validity of bootstrap confidence intervals for many statistics of interest. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Yiren Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

In finite samples, the use of a slightly endogenous but highly relevant instrument can reduce mean-squared error (MSE). Building on this observation, I propose a novel moment selection procedure for GMM -- the Focused Moment Selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Francis J. DiTraglia

For parameter estimation of continuous and discrete distributions, we propose a generalization of the method of moments (MM), where Stein identities are utilized for improved estimation performance. The construction of these Stein-type…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Simon Nik , Christian H. Weiß

Nonparametric series regression often involves specification search over the tuning parameter, i.e., evaluating estimates and confidence intervals with a different number of series terms. This paper develops pointwise and uniform inferences…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-26 Byunghoon Kang

Spectral methods of moments provide a powerful tool for learning the parameters of latent variable models. Despite their theoretical appeal, the applicability of these methods to real data is still limited due to a lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-18 Matteo Ruffini , Guillaume Rabusseau , Borja Balle

The missing data issue often complicates the task of estimating generalized linear models (GLMs). We describe why the pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, used in this setting, is an effective strategy for parameter estimation.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Taylor R. Brown , Timothy L. McMurry , Alexander Langevin

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Heterogeneous but complementary sources of data provide an unprecedented opportunity for developing accurate statistical models of systems. Although the existing methods have shown promising results, they are mostly applicable to situations…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-18 Feng Wang , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Zhen Zhong , Tao Tang , Jianjun Shi

We investigate methods for penalized regression in the presence of missing observations. This paper introduces a method for estimating the parameters which compensates for the missing observations. We first, derive an unbiased estimator of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-09 Yunjin Choi , Robert Tibshirani

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

A new estimation method for the two-component mixture model introduced in \cite{Van13} is proposed. This model consists of a two-component mixture of linear regressions in which one component is entirely known while the proportion, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-05 L. Bordes , I. Kojadinovic , P. Vandekerkhove

Principal Moment Analysis is a method designed for dimension reduction, analysis and visualization of high dimensional multivariate data. It generalizes Principal Component Analysis and allows for significant statistical modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Magnus Fontes , Rasmus Henningsson