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Continuous-time Markov process models of contagions are widely studied, not least because of their utility in predicting the evolution of real-world contagions and in formulating control measures. It is often the case, however, that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Peter G. Fennell , Sergey Melnik , James P. Gleeson

We prove the global asymptotic equivalence between the experiments generated by the discrete (high frequency) or continuous observation of a path of a time inhomogeneous jump-diffusion process and a Gaussian white noise experiment. Here,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Ester Mariucci

Regime-switching processes contain two components: continuous component and discrete component, which can be used to describe a continuous dynamical system in a random environment. Such processes have many different properties than general…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-26 Jinghai Shao

Diffusion geometry is a manifold learning framework that uses random walks defined by Markov transition matrices to characterize the geometry of a dataset at multiple scales. We use diffusion geometry for neural representations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Atharva Khandait , Jan E. Gerken

Robust reinforcement learning agents using high-dimensional observations must be able to identify relevant state features amidst many exogeneous distractors. A representation that captures controllability identifies these state elements by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Max Rudolph , Caleb Chuck , Kevin Black , Misha Lvovsky , Scott Niekum , Amy Zhang

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

The separating time for two probability measures on a filtered space is an extended stopping time which captures the phase transition between equivalence and singularity. More specifically, two probability measures are equivalent before…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 David Criens , Mikhail Urusov

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Aggregations are emergent features common to many biological systems. Mathematical models to understand their emergence are consequently widespread, with the aggregation-diffusion equation being a prime example. Here we study the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Jonathan R. Potts , Kevin J. Painter

When performing tasks like laundry, humans naturally coordinate both hands to manipulate objects and anticipate how their actions will change the state of the clothes. However, achieving such coordination in robotics remains challenging due…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Haonan Chen , Jiaming Xu , Lily Sheng , Tianchen Ji , Shuijing Liu , Yunzhu Li , Katherine Driggs-Campbell

This paper introduces Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs), a novel discrete diffusion algorithm for discrete data generation. The algorithm operates in discrete bit space, where the noising process is a continuous-time Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Dario Shariatian , Antonio Ocello , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

In this paper, we study darning of general symmetric Markov processes by shorting some parts of the state space into singletons. A natural way to construct such processes is via Dirichlet forms restricted to the function space whose members…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Zhen-Qing Chen , Jun Peng

The literature on Bayesian methods for the analysis of discrete-time semi-Markov processes is sparse. In this paper, we introduce the semi-Markov beta-Stacy process, a stochastic process useful for the Bayesian non-parametric analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Andrea Arfè , Stefano Peluso , Pietro Muliere

This paper defines a new pseudometric for binary relations between finite sets that measures consensus among subsets. The main results are (1) a concise restatement of this pseudometric with an intuitively appealing interpretation via a…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Kenneth P. Ewing , Michael Robinson

Direct simulation of biomolecular dynamics in thermal equilibrium is challenging due to the metastable nature of conformation dynamics and the computational cost of molecular dynamics. Biased or enhanced sampling methods may improve the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

While imitation learning provides a simple and effective framework for policy learning, acquiring consistent actions during robot execution remains a challenging task. Existing approaches primarily focus on either modifying the action…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Xiao Liu , Fabian Weigend , Yifan Zhou , Heni Ben Amor

With the increasing ubiquity of safety-critical autonomous systems operating in uncertain environments, there is a need for mathematical methods for formal verification of stochastic models. Towards formally verifying properties of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Adrien Banse , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo , Raphaël M. Jungers

Behavioural distances provide a robust alternative to notions of equivalence such as bisimilarity in the context of probabilistic transition systems. They can be defined as least fixed points, whose universal property allows us to exhibit…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ruben Turkenburg , Harsh Beohar , Franck van Breugel , Clemens Kupke , Jurriaan Rot

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

Since diffusion processes arise in so many different fields, efficient tech-nics for the simulation of sample paths, like discretization schemes, represent crucial tools in applied probability. Such methods permit to obtain approximations…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-22 Samuel Herrmann , Cristina Zucca