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We introduce Moirai 2.0, a decoder-only time-series foundation model trained on a new corpus of 36M series. The model adopts quantile forecasting and multi-token prediction, improving both probabilistic accuracy and inference efficiency. On…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Chenghao Liu , Taha Aksu , Juncheng Liu , Xu Liu , Hanshu Yan , Quang Pham , Silvio Savarese , Doyen Sahoo , Caiming Xiong , Junnan Li

Time-series classification is an important domain of machine learning and a plethora of methods have been developed for the task. In comparison to existing approaches, this study presents a novel method which decomposes a time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Time series data is prevalent across numerous fields, necessitating the development of robust and accurate forecasting models. Capturing patterns both within and between temporal and multivariate components is crucial for reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Maurice Kraus , Felix Divo , Devendra Singh Dhami , Kristian Kersting

Analyzing sequential data is crucial in many domains, particularly due to the abundance of data collected from the Internet of Things paradigm. Time series classification, the task of categorizing sequential data, has gained prominence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Venkata Ragavendra Vavilthota , Ranjith Ramanathan , Sathyanarayanan N. Aakur

Time series forecasting traditionally relies on unimodal numerical inputs, which often struggle to capture high-level semantic patterns due to their dense and unstructured nature. While recent approaches have explored representing time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Sixun Dong , Wei Fan , Teresa Wu , Yanjie Fu

Multivariate long-term time series forecasting is of great application across many domains, such as energy consumption and weather forecasting. With the development of transformer-based methods, the performance of multivariate long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Zheng Sun , Yi Wei , Wenxiao Jia , Long Yu

Deep time series forecasting has emerged as a rapidly growing field in recent years. Despite the exponential growth of community interests, progress on standard benchmarks is often limited to marginal improvements. A common consensus of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Yuezhou Ma , Yuchen Fang , Ziyi Zhang , Yong Liu , Shiyu Wang , Zhou Ye , Yang Xiang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Object recognition systems usually require fully complete manually labeled training data to train the classifier. In this paper, we study the problem of object recognition where the training samples are missing during the classifier…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Wai Lam Hoo , Chee Seng Chan

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Foundation models have emerged as a promising approach in time series forecasting (TSF). Existing approaches either repurpose large language models (LLMs) or build large-scale time series datasets to develop TSF foundation models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Mouxiang Chen , Lefei Shen , Zhuo Li , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Chenghao Liu

The past decade has witnessed significant advances in time series modeling with deep learning. While achieving state-of-the-art results, the best-performing architectures vary highly across applications and domains. Meanwhile, for natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Defu Cao , Furong Jia , Sercan O Arik , Tomas Pfister , Yixiang Zheng , Wen Ye , Yan Liu

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

The vast majority of time-series forecasting approaches require a substantial training dataset. However, many real-life forecasting applications have very little initial observations, sometimes just 40 or fewer. Thus, the applicability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Samuel Dooley , Gurnoor Singh Khurana , Chirag Mohapatra , Siddartha Naidu , Colin White

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) is a critical task with broad applications in domains such as meteorology, transportation, and economics. Nevertheless, pervasive missing values caused by sensor failures or human errors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Kai Tang , Ji Zhang , Hua Meng , Minbo Ma , Qi Xiong , Fengmao Lv , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Pretrained time series models have enabled inference-only forecasting systems that produce accurate predictions without task-specific training. However, existing approaches largely focus on univariate forecasting, limiting their…

Forecasting agricultural markets remains challenging due to nonlinear dynamics, structural breaks, and sparse data. A long-standing belief holds that simple time-series methods outperform more advanced alternatives. This paper provides the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Le Wang , Boyuan Zhang

Sequentially obtained dataset usually exhibits different behavior at different data resolutions/scales. Instead of inferring from data at each scale individually, it is often more informative to interpret the data as an ensemble of time…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-03-19 Yuan Yang , Jie Ding

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan