English

Learning Deep Time-index Models for Time Series Forecasting

Machine Learning 2023-10-18 v4 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to model the continuous nature of underlying time series dynamics, little attention has been given to them. Indeed, while naive deep time-index models are far more expressive than the manually predefined function representations of classical time-index models, they are inadequate for forecasting, being unable to generalize to unseen time steps due to the lack of inductive bias. In this paper, we propose DeepTime, a meta-optimization framework to learn deep time-index models which overcome these limitations, yielding an efficient and accurate forecasting model. Extensive experiments on real world datasets in the long sequence time-series forecasting setting demonstrate that our approach achieves competitive results with state-of-the-art methods, and is highly efficient. Code is available at https://github.com/salesforce/DeepTime.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2207.06046,
  title  = {Learning Deep Time-index Models for Time Series Forecasting},
  author = {Gerald Woo and Chenghao Liu and Doyen Sahoo and Akshat Kumar and Steven Hoi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.06046},
  year   = {2023}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-25T00:52:27.775Z