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Assessment of the performance of a player in any sport is very much needed to determine the ranking of players and make a solid team with the best players. Besides these, fans, journalists, sports persons, and sports councils often analyse…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-28 Dipak Patra

Predicting batting averages for specific batters against specific pitchers is a challenging problem in baseball. Previous methods for estimating batting averages in these matchups have used regression models that can incorporate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Michael J. O'Connell

There is a widespread notion in cricketing world that with increasing pace the performance of a bowler improves. Additionally, many commentators believe lower order batters to be more vulnerable to pace. The present study puts these two…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-18 Akash Malhotra , Shailesh Krishna

Nowadays, it becomes a common practice to capture some data of sports games with devices such as GPS sensors and cameras and then use the data to perform various analyses on sports games, including tactics discovery, similar game retrieval,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Qianru Zhang , Zheng Wang , Cheng Long , Siu-Ming Yiu

In situations where forecasters are scored on the quality of their probabilistic predictions, it is standard to use `proper' scoring rules to perform such scoring. These rules are desirable because they give forecasters no incentive to lie…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Spencer Greenberg

In the high-stakes world of baseball, every nuance of a pitcher's mechanics holds the key to maximizing performance and minimizing runs. Traditional analysis methods often rely on pre-recorded offline numerical data, hindering their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Jerrin Bright , Bavesh Balaji , Yuhao Chen , David A Clausi , John S Zelek

Central to diving competitions is the diver's ``dive list'', which is the list of dives an athlete will perform during a competition. Creating a dive list that contains enough difficulty to be competitive yet not beyond the capability of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-16 Monnie McGee

Cricket, "a Gentleman's Game", is a prominent sport rising worldwide. Due to the rising competitiveness of the sport, players and team management have become more professional with their approach. Prior studies predicted individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ahmad Al Asad , Kazi Nishat Anwar , Ilhum Zia Chowdhury , Akif Azam , Tarif Ashraf , Tanvir Rahman

Scoring rules measure the deviation between a probabilistic forecast and reality. Strictly proper scoring rules have the property that for any forecast, the mathematical expectation of the score of a forecast p by the lights of p is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Alexander R. Pruss

This work presents an analysis of the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) method for One Day International (ODI) cricket matches. The accuracy of the DLS method is compared against various supervised learning algorithms for result prediction. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Kumail Abbas , Sajjad Haider

In this paper we examine the effectiveness of five mathematical models used to predict the outcomes of amateur darts games. These models not only predict the outcomes at the start of the game, but also update their estimations as the game…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-19 Ayham Makhamra , Yelyzaveta Satynska , Michael Weselcouch

This paper presents a data-driven statistical framework to quantify the role of skill in games, addressing the long-standing question of whether success in a game is predominantly driven by skill or chance. We analyze player level data from…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Tathagata Banerjee , Anushka De , Subhamoy Maitra , Diganta Mukherjee

The Perturbation Discrimination Score (PDS) is increasingly used to evaluate whether predicted perturbation effects remain distinguishable, including in Systema and the Virtual Cell Challenge. However, its behavior in high-dimensional…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Qiyuan Liu , Qirui Zhang , Jinhong Du , Siming Zhao , Jingshu Wang

We present a tractable framework for detecting changes in performance metrics and apply these methods to Major League Baseball (MLB) batting and pitching data from the 2023 and 2024 seasons. We propose a changepoint detection algorithm that…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-06 Amanda Glazer

There have been more hitting streaks in Major League Baseball than we would expect. All batting lines of MLB hitters from 1957-2006 were randomly permuted 10,000 times and the number of hitting streaks of each length from 2 to 100 was…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-10 Trent McCotter

Motion blur reduces the clarity of fast-moving objects, posing challenges for detection systems, especially in racket sports, where balls often appear as streaks rather than distinct points. Existing labeling conventions mark the ball at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Thomas Gossard , Filip Radovic , Andreas Ziegler , Andreas Zell

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

In most popular sports leagues, like the MLB, NBA, and NFL, none of the commonly used statistics take into account the strengths of the opponents a player faces. One of the main reasons for this is the conventional belief that a player's…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Francis Liu

In this study, we investigate the interplay between player speed and ball control in soccer. We present a novel pitch control algorithm that quantifies the probability of a player gaining possession at any location on the field. Our model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-15 Marco F. da Silva , A. Novillo , A. Aleta , R. Lopez del Campo , R. Resta , Y. Moreno , J. M. Buldu

To acquire a new skill, humans learn better and faster if a tutor, based on their current knowledge level, informs them of how much attention they should pay to particular content or practice problems. Similarly, a machine learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Xinyi Wang , Hieu Pham , Paul Michel , Antonios Anastasopoulos , Jaime Carbonell , Graham Neubig