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Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Recent neural network-driven semantic role labeling (SRL) systems have shown impressive improvements in F1 scores. These improvements are due to expressive input representations, which, at least at the surface, are orthogonal to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Tao Li , Parth Anand Jawale , Martha Palmer , Vivek Srikumar

We propose a novel hierarchical diffusion planner that embeds task and motion structure directly into the noise model. Unlike standard diffusion-based planners that rely on zero-mean, isotropic Gaussian corruption, we introduce…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Amelie Minji Kim , Anqi Wu , Ye Zhao

Graph deep learning methods have become popular tools to process collections of correlated time series. Unlike traditional multivariate forecasting methods, graph-based predictors leverage pairwise relationships by conditioning forecasts on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

In this paper we introduce a method for significantly improving the signal to noise ratio in financial data. The approach relies on combining a target variable with different context variables and use auto-encoders (AEs) to learn…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Matthias J. Feiler

Predicting the health of components in complex dynamic systems such as an automobile poses numerous challenges. The primary aim of such predictive systems is to use the high-dimensional data acquired from different sensors and predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Arvind Kumar Shekar , Cláudio Rebelo de Sá , Hugo Ferreira , Carlos Soares

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Complex dynamical systems are used for predictions in many domains. Because of computational costs, models are truncated, coarsened, or aggregated. As the neglected and unresolved terms become important, the utility of model predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Abhinav Gupta , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux

A modelling framework, based on the theory of signal processing, for characterising the dynamics of systems driven by the unravelling of information is outlined, and is applied to describe the process of decision making. The model input of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-14 Dorje C. Brody

AI systems deployed in the real world must contend with distractions and out-of-distribution (OOD) noise that can destabilize their policies and lead to unsafe behavior. While robust training can reduce sensitivity to some forms of noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Geigh Zollicoffer , Tanush Chopra , Mingkuan Yan , Xiaoxu Ma , Kenneth Eaton , Mark Riedl

In recent years, large convolutional neural networks have been widely used as tools for image deblurring, because of their ability in restoring images very precisely. It is well known that image deblurring is mathematically modeled as an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Davide Evangelista , Elena Morotti , Elena Loli Piccolomini , James Nagy

Spatio-temporal process models are often used for modeling dynamic physical and biological phenomena that evolve across space and time. These phenomena may exhibit environmental heterogeneity and complex interactions that are difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Pratik Nag , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Sumeetpal Singh , Noel Cressie

A learning-based safety filter is developed for discrete-time linear time-invariant systems with unknown models subject to Gaussian noises with unknown covariance. Safety is characterized using polytopic constraints on the states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Farhad Farokhi , Alex S. Leong , Mohammad Zamani , Iman Shames

Cross-domain time series forecasting is a valuable task in various web applications. Despite its rapid advancement, achieving effective generalization across heterogeneous time series data remains a significant challenge. Existing methods…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Tingyue Pan , Mingyue Cheng , Shilong Zhang , Zhiding Liu , Xiaoyu Tao , Yucong Luo , Jintao Zhang , Qi Liu

Deep learning models often achieve high performance by inadvertently learning spurious correlations between targets and non-essential features. For example, an image classifier may identify an object via its background that spuriously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Guangtao Zheng , Wenqian Ye , Aidong Zhang

Diffusion models that are based on iterative denoising have been recently proposed and leveraged in various generation tasks like image generation. Whereas, as a way inherently built for continuous data, existing diffusion models still have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Jiaao Chen , Aston Zhang , Mu Li , Alex Smola , Diyi Yang

Long-lead forecasting for spatio-temporal systems can often entail complex nonlinear dynamics that are difficult to specify it a priori. Current statistical methodologies for modeling these processes are often highly parameterized and thus,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-05 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Structured prediction plays a central role in machine learning applications from computational biology to computer vision. These models require significantly more computation than unstructured models, and, in many applications, algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-03 Alexander Grubb , Daniel Munoz , J. Andrew Bagnell , Martial Hebert
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