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Transformer-based architectures have achieved remarkable success in natural language processing and computer vision. However, their performance in multivariate long-term forecasting often falls short compared to simpler linear baselines.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Dizhen Liang

Trajectory prediction is essential for formulating proactive strategies that anticipate user mobility and support advance preparation. Therefore, how to reduce the forecasting error in user trajectory prediction within an acceptable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Wei Hao , Bin Chong , Ronghua Ji , Chen Hou

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…

Human Motion Prediction (HMP) aims to predict future poses at different moments according to past motion sequences. Previous approaches have treated the prediction of various moments equally, resulting in two main limitations: the learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jianwei Tang , Jiangxin Sun , Xiaotong Lin , Lifang Zhang , Wei-Shi Zheng , Jian-Fang Hu

Channel turbulence is a formidable obstacle for free-space optical (FSO) communication. Anticipation of turbulence levels is highly important for mitigating disruptions but has not been demonstrated without dedicated, auxiliary hardware. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-26 Md Zobaer Islam , Ethan Abele , Fahim Ferdous Hossain , Arsalan Ahmad , Sabit Ekin , John F. O'Hara

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) involves predicting future values of multiple interrelated time series. Recently, deep learning-based MTSF models have gained significant attention for their promising ability to mine semantics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Chengqing Yu , Fei Wang , Chuanguang Yang , Zezhi Shao , Tao Sun , Tangwen Qian , Wei Wei , Zhulin An , Yongjun Xu

Modern control systems must operate in increasingly complex environments subject to safety constraints and input limits, and are often implemented in a hierarchical fashion with different controllers running at multiple time scales. Yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-04 Noel Csomay-Shanklin , Andrew J. Taylor , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames

The Super Learner (SL) is a widely used ensemble method that combines predictions from a library of learners based on their predictive performance. Interval predictions are of considerable practical interest because they allow uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Zhanli Wu , Fabrizio Leisen , Miguel-Angel Luque-Fernandez , F. Javier Rubio

Multi-step-ahead forecasts are often updated as new observations become available, since shorter forecast horizons typically improve forecast quality. However, such improvements come at the cost of forecast instability, i.e., variability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jente Van Belle , Honglin Wen , Wouter Verbeke , Pierre Pinson

Recent advancements in long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) have primarily focused on capturing cross-time and cross-variate (channel) dependencies within historical data. However, a critical aspect often overlooked by many existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Chaolv Zeng , Yuan Tian , Guanjie Zheng , Yunjun Gao

Transformers have gained attention in atmospheric time series forecasting (ATSF) for their ability to capture global spatial-temporal correlations. However, their complex architectures lead to excessive parameter counts and extended…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Yisong Fu , Fei Wang , Zezhi Shao , Boyu Diao , Lin Wu , Zhulin An , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Yongjun Xu

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Time distributed optimization is an implementation strategy that can significantly reduce the computational burden of model predictive control by exploiting its robustness to incomplete optimization. When using this strategy, optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Dominic Liao-McPherson , Marco Nicotra , Ilya Kolmanovsky

Cloud native solutions are widely applied in various fields, placing higher demands on the efficient management and utilization of resource platforms. To achieve the efficiency, load forecasting and elastic scaling have become crucial…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Linfeng Wen , Minxian Xu , Adel N. Toosi , Kejiang Ye

TSF is growing in various domains including manufacturing. Although numerous TSF algorithms have been developed recently, the validation and evaluation of algorithms hold substantial value for researchers and practitioners and are missing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Mojtaba A. Farahani , Fadi El Kalach , Austin Harper , M. R. McCormick , Ramy Harik , Thorsten Wuest

Recent studies have attempted to refine the Transformer architecture to demonstrate its effectiveness in Long-Term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks. Despite surpassing many linear forecasting models with ever-improving performance, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Peiwang Tang , Weitai Zhang

Test-time adaptation (TTA) enables efficient adaptation of deployed models, yet it often leads to poorly calibrated predictive uncertainty - a critical issue in high-stakes domains such as autonomous driving, finance, and healthcare.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Gilhyun Nam , Taewon Kim , Joonhyun Jeong , Eunho Yang

Modeling dynamic temporal dependencies is a critical challenge in time series pre-training, which evolve due to distribution shifts and multi-scale patterns. This temporal variability severely impairs the generalization of pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Yuemin Wu , Zhongze Wu , Xiu Su , Feng Yang , Hongyan Xu , Xi Lin , Wenti Huang , Shan You , Chang Xu

Spatiotemporal predictive learning (ST-PL) is a hotspot with numerous applications, such as object movement and meteorological prediction. It aims at predicting the subsequent frames via observed sequences. However, inherent uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Zenghao Chai , Zhengzhuo Xu , Yunpeng Bai , Zhihui Lin , Chun Yuan

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia
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