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When multiple investigators analyze a common dataset, the data reuse induces dependence across testing procedures, affecting the distribution of errors. Existing techniques of managing dependent tests require either cross-study coordination…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Reid Dale , Jordan Rodu , Maria E. Currie , Mike Baiocchi

The limiting distribution for M-estimates in a non-stationary autoregressive model with heavy-tailed error is computationally intractable. To make inferences based on the M-estimates, the bootstrap procedure can be used to approximate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

Recent advances in robust semi-supervised learning (SSL) typically filter out-of-distribution (OOD) information at the sample level. We argue that an overlooked problem of robust SSL is its corrupted information on semantic level,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Yu Wang , Pengchong Qiao , Chang Liu , Guoli Song , Xiawu Zheng , Jie Chen

Classification has been a major task for building intelligent systems as it enables decision-making under uncertainty. Classifier design aims at building models from training data for representing feature-label distributions--either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Omar Maddouri , Xiaoning Qian , Francis J. Alexander , Edward R. Dougherty , Byung-Jun Yoon

Deep Neural Networks for classification behave unpredictably when confronted with inputs not stemming from the training distribution. This motivates out-of-distribution detection (OOD) mechanisms. The usual lack of prior information on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Konstantin Kirchheim , Tim Gonschorek , Frank Ortmeier

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Interpolators are unstable. For example, the mininum $\ell_2$ norm least square interpolator exhibits unbounded test errors when dealing with noisy data. In this paper, we study how ensemble stabilizes and thus improves the generalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Mingqi Wu , Qiang Sun

Entity resolution (ER) presents unique challenges for evaluation methodology. While crowdsourcing platforms acquire ground truth, sound approaches to sampling must drive labelling efforts. In ER, extreme class imbalance between matching and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Neil G. Marchant , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

Data anomalies are ubiquitous in real world datasets, and can have an adverse impact on machine learning (ML) systems, such as automated home valuation. Detecting anomalies could make ML applications more responsible and trustworthy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Egor Klevak , Sangdi Lin , Andy Martin , Ondrej Linda , Eric Ringger

Decomposing prediction uncertainty into aleatoric (irreducible) and epistemic (reducible) components is critical for the reliable deployment of machine learning systems. While the mutual information between the response variable and model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Anchit Jain , Stephen Bates

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and invariant risk minimization (IRM) are two popular methods proposed to improve out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization performance of machine learning models. While effective for small models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Xiao Zhou , Yong Lin , Renjie Pi , Weizhong Zhang , Renzhe Xu , Peng Cui , Tong Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

Sources of variability in experimentally derived data include measurement error in addition to the physical phenomena of interest. This measurement error is a combination of systematic components, originating from the measuring instrument,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Uri Shaham , Kelly P. Stanton , Jun Zhao , Huamin Li , Khadir Raddassi , Ruth Montgomery , Yuval Kluger

This paper develops bootstrap methods for practical statistical inference in panel data quantile regression models with fixed effects. We consider random-weighted bootstrap resampling and formally establish its validity for asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-08 Antonio F. Galvao , Thomas Parker , Zhijie Xiao

Learning representation from relative similarity comparisons, often called ordinal embedding, gains rising attention in recent years. Most of the existing methods are based on semi-definite programming (\textit{SDP}), which is generally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Ke Ma , Jinshan Zeng , Qianqian Xu , Xiaochun Cao , Wei Liu , Yuan Yao

This study addresses the problem of off-policy evaluation (OPE) from dependent samples obtained via the bandit algorithm. The goal of OPE is to evaluate a new policy using historical data obtained from behavior policies generated by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-15 Masahiro Kato

Gradient-based meta-learning (GBML) algorithms are able to fast adapt to new tasks by transferring the learned meta-knowledge, while assuming that all tasks come from the same distribution (in-distribution, ID). However, in the real world,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Min Zhang , Zifeng Zhuang , Zhitao Wang , Donglin Wang , Wenbin Li

Without loss of generality, existing machine learning techniques may learn spurious correlation dependent on the domain, which exacerbates the generalization of models in out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. To address this issue, recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Bin Qin , Jiangmeng Li , Yi Li , Xuesong Wu , Yupeng Wang , Wenwen Qiang , Jianwen Cao