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Recent research underscores the pivotal role of the Out-of-Distribution (OOD) feature representation field scale in determining the efficacy of models in OOD detection. Consequently, the adoption of model ensembles has emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Chenhui Xu , Fuxun Yu , Zirui Xu , Nathan Inkawhich , Xiang Chen

We consider the problem of quantifying uncertainty for the estimation error of the leading eigenvector from Oja's algorithm for streaming principal component analysis, where the data are generated IID from some unknown distribution. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Robert Lunde , Purnamrita Sarkar , Rachel Ward

Bootstrap methods have long been the cornerstone of ensemble learning in machine learning. This paper presents a theoretical analysis of bootstrap techniques applied to the Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) ensemble in the context…

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

The predominant method for computing confidence intervals (CI) in few-shot learning (FSL) is based on sampling the tasks with replacement, i.e.\ allowing the same samples to appear in multiple tasks. This makes the CI misleading in that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Raphael Lafargue , Luke Smith , Franck Vermet , Mathias Löwe , Ian Reid , Vincent Gripon , Jack Valmadre

High throughput technologies have become the practice of choice for comparative studies in biomedical applications. Limited number of sample points due to sequencing cost or access to organisms of interest necessitates the development of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Ariana Broumand , Siamak Zamani Dadaneh

Recent results in image classification and extractive question answering have observed that pre-trained models trained on less in-distribution data have better out-of-distribution performance. However, it is unclear how broadly these trends…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Nelson F. Liu , Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang , Robin Jia

Let X, X_1,X_2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with mean $\mu=E X$. Let ${v_1^{(n)},...,v_n^{(n)}}_{n=1}^\infty$ be vectors of non-negative random variables (weights), independent of the data sequence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Miklos Csorgo , Yuliya Martsynyuk , Masoud Nasari

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

In a two-stage cluster sampling procedure, $n$ random populations are drawn independently from independent populations and a sub-sample of observations is taken in each of them. The estimator of the general mean of the observed variables is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Odile Pons

Given the increasing complexity of omics datasets, a key challenge is not only improving classification performance but also enhancing the transparency and reliability of model decisions. Effective model performance and feature selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Diego Perazzolo , Pietro Fanton , Ilaria Barison , Marny Fedrigo , Annalisa Angelini , Chiara Castellani , Enrico Grisan

We propose a coupled bootstrap (CB) method for the test error of an arbitrary algorithm that estimates the mean in a Poisson sequence, often called the Poisson means problem. The idea behind our method is to generate two carefully-designed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

System reliability assessment(SRA) is a challenging task due to the limited experimental data and the complex nature of the system structures. Despite a long history dating back to \cite{buehler1957confidence}, exact methods have only been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Junpeng Gong , Xu He , Zhaohui Li

Bootstrap inference is a powerful tool for obtaining robust inference for quantiles and difference-in-quantiles estimators. The computationally intensive nature of bootstrap inference has made it infeasible in large-scale experiments. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Mårten Schultzberg , Sebastian Ankargren

We consider reinforcement learning in an environment modeled by an episodic, finite, stage-dependent Markov decision process of horizon $H$ with $S$ states, and $A$ actions. The performance of an agent is measured by the regret after…

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection aims to identify test examples that do not belong to the training distribution and are thus unlikely to be predicted reliably. Despite a plethora of existing works, most of them focused only on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Reza Averly , Wei-Lun Chao

Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalisation is considered a hallmark of human and animal intelligence. To achieve OOD through composition, a system must discover the environment-invariant properties of experienced input-output mappings and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 George Dimitriadis , Spyridon Samothrakis

Complex survey data are usually collected following complex sampling designs. Accounting for the sampling design is essential to obtain unbiased estimates and valid inferences when analyzing complex survey data. The area under the receiver…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Amaia Iparragirre , Thomas Lumley , Irantzu Barrio

The challenge of noisy multi-objective optimization lies in the constant trade-off between exploring new decision points and improving the precision of known points through resampling. This decision should take into account both the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Timo Budszuhn , Mark Joachim Krallmann , Daniel Horn

Optimal mean shift vector (OMSV)-based importance sampling methods have long been prevalent in yield estimation and optimization as an industry standard. However, most OMSV-based methods are designed heuristically without a rigorous…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Yanfang Liu , Lei He , Wei W. Xing
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