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Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhengsen Xu , Jonathan Li , Sibo Cheng , Xue Rui , Yu Zhao , Hongjie He , Haiyan Guan , Aryan Sharma , Matthew Erxleben , Ryan Chang , Linlin Xu

Climate change is expected to aggravate wildfire activity through the exacerbation of fire weather. Improving our capabilities to anticipate wildfires on a global scale is of uttermost importance for mitigating their negative effects. In…

Wildfire monitoring and prediction are essential for understanding wildfire behaviour. With extensive Earth observation data, these tasks can be integrated and enhanced through multi-task deep learning models. We present a comprehensive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Yu Zhao , Sebastian Gerard , Yifang Ban

Canada experienced in 2023 one of the most severe wildfire seasons in recent history, causing damage across ecosystems, destroying communities, and emitting large quantities of CO2. This extreme wildfire season is symptomatic of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Hugo Porta , Emanuele Dalsasso , Jessica L. McCarty , Devis Tuia

Recent wildfires in the United States have resulted in loss of life and billions of dollars, destroying countless structures and forests. Fighting wildfires is extremely complex. It is difficult to observe the true state of fires due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Tina Diao , Samriddhi Singla , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Ahmed Eldawy , Ross Shachter , Mykel Kochenderfer

Due to climate change, the extreme wildfire has become one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human civilization. Even though, some wildfires may be initially caused by human activity, but the spread of wildfires is mainly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Qijun Chen , Shaofan Li

Wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystems, economies, and communities worldwide, necessitating advanced predictive methods for effective mitigation. This study introduces a novel and comprehensive dataset specifically designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Accurate forecasts of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5) from wildfire smoke are crucial to safeguarding cardiopulmonary public health. Existing forecasting systems are trained on sparse and inaccurate ground truths, and do not take…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Renhao Wang , Ashutosh Bhudia , Brandon Dos Remedios , Minnie Teng , Raymond Ng

Wildfires are increasingly impacting the environment, human health and safety. Among the top 20 California wildfires, those in 2020-2021 burned more acres than the last century combined. California's 2018 wildfire season caused damages of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Rohan Tan Bhowmik

As wildfires are expected to become more frequent and severe, improved prediction models are vital to mitigating risk and allocating resources. With remote sensing data, valuable spatiotemporal statistical models can be created and used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Alissa Chavalithumrong , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

Wildfire is one of the biggest disasters that frequently occurs on the west coast of the United States. Many efforts have been made to understand the causes of the increases in wildfire intensity and frequency in recent years. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Tanqiu Jiang , Sidhant K. Bendre , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Predicting wildfire spread is critical for land management and disaster preparedness. To this end, we present `Next Day Wildfire Spread,' a curated, large-scale, multivariate data set of historical wildfires aggregating nearly a decade of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Nita Goyal , Tharun Sankar , Matthias Ihme , Yi-Fan Chen

Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

The global occurrence, scale, and frequency of wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystem services and human livelihoods. To effectively quantify and attribute the antecedent conditions for wildfires, a thorough understanding of Earth…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Ilektra Karasante , Lazaro Alonso , Ioannis Prapas , Akanksha Ahuja , Nuno Carvalhais , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao
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