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In this paper, we discuss the utilization of perturbed risk levels (PRLs) for the solution of chance-constrained problems via sampling-based approaches. PRLs allow the consideration of distributional ambiguity by rescaling the risk level of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Moritz Heinlein , Teodoro Alamo , Sergio Lucia

We study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for Gaussian and Poisson mixture models, assuming the support of the true mixing distribution lies in a fixed bounded set. In this setting, we establish exact parametric rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Yan Zhang , Stanislav Volgushev

Training a deep neural network (DNN) often involves stochastic optimization, which means each run will produce a different model. Several works suggest this variability is negligible when models have the same performance, which in the case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Sinjini Banerjee , Reilly Cannon , Tim Marrinan , Tony Chiang , Anand D. Sarwate

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

Given the rapid changes in telecommunication systems and their higher dependence on artificial intelligence, it is increasingly important to have models that can perform well under different, possibly adverse, conditions. Deep Neural…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Javier Maroto , Gérôme Bovet , Pascal Frossard

In real scenarios, state observations that an agent observes may contain measurement errors or adversarial noises, misleading the agent to take suboptimal actions or even collapse while training. In this paper, we study the training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ke Sun , Yingnan Zhao , Shangling Jui , Linglong Kong

This paper presents a novel non-linear model reduction method: Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD), which provides a powerful framework for constructing non-intrusive reduced-order models (ROMs) by embedding a high-dimensional system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are highly flexible predictive models. However, reliably quantifying uncertainty for their predictions is a continuing challenge. There has been much recent work on "recalibration" of predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 R. Torres , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson , T. Rodrigues , J. G. Reis , G. S. Rodrigues

This paper investigates model robustness in reinforcement learning (RL) to reduce the sim-to-real gap in practice. We adopt the framework of distributionally robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), aimed at learning a policy that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Laixi Shi , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Matthieu Geist , Yuejie Chi

This paper proposes a novel non-parametric multidimensional convex regression estimator which is designed to be robust to adversarial perturbations in the empirical measure. We minimize over convex functions the maximum (over Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Jun Yan , Zhengqing Zhou

Neural networks (NNs) are now routinely implemented on systems that must operate in uncertain environments, but the tools for formally analyzing how this uncertainty propagates to NN outputs are not yet commonplace. Computing tight bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Michael Everett , Golnaz Habibi , Jonathan P. How

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

Balancing the trade-off between safety and efficiency is of significant importance for path planning under uncertainty. Many risk-aware path planners have been developed to explicitly limit the probability of collision to an acceptable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Fei Meng , Liangliang Chen , Han Ma , Jiankun Wang , Max Q. -H. Meng

Unsupervised real world super resolution (USR) aims to restore high-resolution (HR) images given low-resolution (LR) inputs, and its difficulty stems from the absence of paired dataset. One of the most common approaches is synthesizing…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-23 Sangyun Lee , Sewoong Ahn , Kwangjin Yoon

In general, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are evaluated by the generalization performance measured on unseen data excluded from the training phase. Along with the development of DNNs, the generalization performance converges to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Seongjin Park , Haedong Jeong , Tair Djanibekov , Giyoung Jeon , Jinseok Seol , Jaesik Choi

Many applications of classification methods not only require high accuracy but also reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty. However, while many current classification frameworks, in particular deep neural networks, achieve high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Jonathan Wenger , Hedvig Kjellström , Rudolph Triebel

This paper proposes a mechanism to fine-tune convex approximations of probabilistic reachable sets (PRS) of uncertain dynamic systems. We consider the case of unbounded uncertainties, for which it may be impossible to find a bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pengcheng Wu , Sonia Martinez , Jun Chen

Off-policy evaluation and learning (OPE/L) use offline observational data to make better decisions, which is crucial in applications where online experimentation is limited. However, depending entirely on logged data, OPE/L is sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Kaiwen Wang , Zhengyuan Zhou

Neural networks have received a lot of attention recently, and related security issues have come with it. Many studies have shown that neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples that have been artificially perturbed with…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Shi Pu , Fu Song , Wenjie Wang

Perturbation-based regularization techniques address many challenges in industrial-scale large models, particularly with sparse labels, and emphasize consistency and invariance for perturbation in model predictions. One of the popular…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Ilqar Ramazanli , Hamid Eghbalzadeh , Xiaoyi Liu , Yang Wang , Jiaxiang Fu , Kaushik Rangadurai , Sem Park , Bo Long , Xue Feng
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