English

Doubly Robust Distributionally Robust Off-Policy Evaluation and Learning

Machine Learning 2022-07-19 v2 Optimization and Control Statistics Theory Machine Learning Statistics Theory

Abstract

Off-policy evaluation and learning (OPE/L) use offline observational data to make better decisions, which is crucial in applications where online experimentation is limited. However, depending entirely on logged data, OPE/L is sensitive to environment distribution shifts -- discrepancies between the data-generating environment and that where policies are deployed. \citet{si2020distributional} proposed distributionally robust OPE/L (DROPE/L) to address this, but the proposal relies on inverse-propensity weighting, whose estimation error and regret will deteriorate if propensities are nonparametrically estimated and whose variance is suboptimal even if not. For standard, non-robust, OPE/L, this is solved by doubly robust (DR) methods, but they do not naturally extend to the more complex DROPE/L, which involves a worst-case expectation. In this paper, we propose the first DR algorithms for DROPE/L with KL-divergence uncertainty sets. For evaluation, we propose Localized Doubly Robust DROPE (LDR2^2OPE) and show that it achieves semiparametric efficiency under weak product rates conditions. Thanks to a localization technique, LDR2^2OPE only requires fitting a small number of regressions, just like DR methods for standard OPE. For learning, we propose Continuum Doubly Robust DROPL (CDR2^2OPL) and show that, under a product rate condition involving a continuum of regressions, it enjoys a fast regret rate of O(N1/2)\mathcal{O}\left(N^{-1/2}\right) even when unknown propensities are nonparametrically estimated. We empirically validate our algorithms in simulations and further extend our results to general ff-divergence uncertainty sets.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2202.09667,
  title  = {Doubly Robust Distributionally Robust Off-Policy Evaluation and Learning},
  author = {Nathan Kallus and Xiaojie Mao and Kaiwen Wang and Zhengyuan Zhou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2202.09667},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

Short Talk at ICML 2022

R2 v1 2026-06-24T09:46:01.706Z