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This study aims to address the challenges of futures price prediction in high-frequency trading (HFT) by proposing a continuous learning factor predictor based on graph neural networks. The model integrates multi-factor pricing theories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Min Hu , Zhizhong Tan , Bin Liu , Guosheng Yin

The rapid growth of e-commerce has placed considerable pressure on customs representatives, prompting advanced methods. In tackling this, Artificial intelligence (AI) systems have emerged as a promising approach to minimize the risks faced.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Otmane Amel , Sedrick Stassin , Sidi Ahmed Mahmoudi , Xavier Siebert

The article is concerned with the problem of multi-step financial time series forecasting of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates. To address this problem, we introduce a regression network termed RegPred Net. The exchange rate to forecast is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-12 Linwei Li , Paul-Amaury Matt , Christian Heumann

The study seeks to develop an effective strategy based on the novel framework of statistical arbitrage based on graph clustering algorithms. Amalgamation of quantitative and machine learning methods, including the Kelly criterion, and an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Adam Korniejczuk , Robert Ślepaczuk

We study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Tian Guo , Fabrizio Lillo

The present document delineates the analysis, design, implementation, and benchmarking of various neural network architectures within a short-term frequency prediction system for the foreign exchange market (FOREX). Our aim is to simulate…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-15 Theodoros Zafeiriou , Dimitris Kalles

Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have made algorithmic trading play a central role in finance. However, current research and applications are disconnected information islands. We propose a generally applicable pipeline for…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Luyao Zhang , Tianyu Wu , Saad Lahrichi , Carlos-Gustavo Salas-Flores , Jiayi Li

The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) famously stated that prices fully reflect the information available to traders. This critically depends on the transfer of information into prices through trading strategies. Traders optimise their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-14 Paolo Barucca , Flaviano Morone

This paper presents a novel hybrid approach for constricting probabilistic forecasts that combines both the Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) method and the factor-based averaging scheme. The performance of the approach is evaluated on…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-20 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Tomasz Serafin , Bartosz Uniejewski

This paper develops an autonomous framework for systematic factor investing via agentic AI. Rather than relying on sequential manual prompts, our approach operationalizes the model as a self-directed engine that endogenously formulates…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Allen Yikuan Huang , Zheqi Fan

This paper combines a techno-economic energy system model with an econometric model to maximise electricity price forecasting accuracy. The proposed combination model is tested on the German day-ahead wholesale electricity market. Our paper…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Souhir Ben Amor , Thomas Möbius , Felix Müsgens

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

This research paper focuses on the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into the currency trading landscape, positing the development of personalized AI models, essentially functioning as intelligent personal assistants tailored to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Jai Pal

We discuss a method for predicting financial movements and finding pockets of predictability in the price-series, which is built around inferring the heterogeneity of trading strategies in a multi-agent trader population. This work explores…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-05-13 Nachi Gupta , Raphael Hauser , Neil F. Johnson

In this paper, a neural network-based stock price prediction and trading system using technical analysis indicators is presented. The model developed first converts the financial time series data into a series of buy-sell-hold trigger…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-12-29 O. B. Sezer , M. Ozbayoglu , E. Dogdu

The credit spread is a key indicator in bond investments, offering valuable insights for fixed-income investors to devise effective trading strategies. This study proposes a novel credit spread forecasting model leveraging ensemble learning…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Yu Shao , Jiawen Bai , Yingze Hou , Xia'an Zhou , Zhanhao Pan

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

This research analyses high-frequency data of the cryptocurrency market in regards to intraday trading patterns related to algorithmic trading and its impact on the European cryptocurrency market. We study trading quantitatives such as…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-10 Alla A. Petukhina , Raphael C. G. Reule , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the financial domain has opened new avenues for quantitative trading, particularly through the use of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the challenge of effectively synthesizing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Qianggang Ding , Haochen Shi , Jiadong Guo , Bang Liu