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The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz

Accurate forecasting of the EUR/USD exchange rate is crucial for investors, businesses, and policymakers. This paper proposes a novel framework, IUS, that integrates unstructured textual data from news and analysis with structured data on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-30 Hongcheng Ding , Xuanze Zhao , Ruiting Deng , Shamsul Nahar Abdullah , Deshinta Arrova Dewi

This study introduces a novel approach for EUR/USD exchange rate forecasting that integrates deep learning, textual analysis, and particle swarm optimization (PSO). By incorporating online news and analysis texts as qualitative data, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Hongcheng Ding , Xiangyu Shi , Ruiting Deng , Salaar Faroog , Deshinta Arrova Dewi , Shamsul Nahar Abdullah , Bahiah A Malek

The Foreign Exchange (Forex) is a large decentralized market, on which trading analysis and algorithmic trading are popular. Research efforts have been focusing on proof of efficiency of certain technical indicators. We demonstrate,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Nikolay Ivanov , Qiben Yan

The report presents with the development and optimisation of an enhanced algorithmic trading strategy through the use of historical S&P 500 market data and earnings call sentiment analysis. The proposed strategy integrates various technical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Owen Nyo Wei Yuan , Victor Tan Jia Xuan , Ong Jun Yao Fabian , Ryan Tan Jun Wei

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

In recent years, a wide range of investment models have been created using artificial intelligence. Automatic trading by artificial intelligence can expand the range of trading methods, such as by conferring the ability to operate 24 hours…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-17 Koya Ishikawa , Kazuhide Nakata

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

We propose a Genetic Programming architecture for the generation of foreign exchange trading strategies. The system's principal features are the evolution of free-form strategies which do not rely on any prior models and the utilization of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Simone Cirillo , Stefan Lloyd , Peter Nordin

Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Sahand Hassanizorgabad

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

Technical analysis is used to discover investment opportunities. To test this hypothesis we propose an hybrid system using machine learning techniques together with genetic algorithms. Using technical analysis there are more ways to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Gonçalo Abreu , Rui Neves , Nuno Horta

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

Accurate exchange rate prediction is fundamental to financial stability and international trade, positioning it as a critical focus in economic and financial research. Traditional forecasting models often falter when addressing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Shuchen Meng , Andi Chen , Chihang Wang , Mengyao Zheng , Fangyu Wu , Xupeng Chen , Haowei Ni , Panfeng Li

Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Chun-Chieh Wang

The majority of studies in the field of AI guided financial trading focus on purely applying machine learning algorithms to continuous historical price and technical analysis data. However, due to non-stationary and high volatile nature of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Ling Qi , Matloob Khushi , Josiah Poon

The prediction of foreign exchange rates, such as the US Dollar (USD) to Bangladeshi Taka (BDT), plays a pivotal role in global financial markets, influencing trade, investments, and economic stability. This study leverages historical…

In this study, we propose a fuzzy system for conducting short-term transactions in the forex market. The system is designed to enhance common strategies in the forex market using fuzzy logic, thereby improving the accuracy of transactions.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-10 Mustafa Shabani , Alireza Nasiri , Hassan Nafardi
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