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Covariate shift occurs when the distribution of input features differs between the training and testing phases. In covariate shift, estimating an unknown function's moment is a classical problem that remains under-explored, despite its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-01 Zhen Zhang , Xin Liu , Shaoli Wang , Jiaye Teng

We provide estimation methods for nonseparable panel models based on low-rank factor structure approximations. The factor structures are estimated by matrix-completion methods to deal with the computational challenges of principal component…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-05 Iván Fernández-Val , Hugo Freeman , Martin Weidner

In this paper, we establish minimax optimal rates of convergence for prediction in a semi-functional linear model that consists of a functional component and a less smooth nonparametric component. Our results reveal that the smoother…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Keli Guo , Jun Fan , Lixing Zhu

We consider the nonparametric estimation of an S-shaped regression function. The least squares estimator provides a very natural, tuning-free approach, but results in a non-convex optimisation problem, since the inflection point is unknown.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Oliver Y. Feng , Yining Chen , Qiyang Han , Raymond J. Carroll , Richard J. Samworth

Empirical research typically involves a robustness-efficiency tradeoff. A researcher seeking to estimate a scalar parameter can invoke strong assumptions to motivate a restricted estimator that is precise but may be heavily biased, or they…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-17 Timothy B. Armstrong , Patrick Kline , Liyang Sun

This study proposes a point estimator of the break location for a one-time structural break in linear regression models. If the break magnitude is small, the least-squares estimator of the break date has two modes at the ends of the finite…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-04 Yaein Baek

We study the rates of estimation of finite mixing distributions, that is, the parameters of the mixture. We prove that under some regularity and strong identifiability conditions, around a given mixing distribution with $m_0$ components,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-16 Philippe Heinrich , Jonas Kahn

We prove minimax bounds for estimating Gaussian location mixtures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ under the squared $L^2$ and the squared Hellinger loss functions. Under the squared $L^2$ loss, we prove that the minimax rate is upper and lower bounded by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Arlene K. H. Kim , Adityanand Guntuboyina

In this article, we study large-dimensional matrix factor models and estimate the factor loading matrices and factor score matrix by minimizing square loss function. Interestingly, the resultant estimators coincide with the Projected…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang , Changwei Zhao

We extend recent computer-assisted design and analysis techniques for first-order optimization over structured functions--known as performance estimation--to apply to structured sets. We prove "interpolation theorems" for smooth and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Alan Luner , Benjamin Grimmer

We use tools from random matrix theory to study the multi-spiked tensor model, i.e., a rank-$r$ deformation of a symmetric random Gaussian tensor. In particular, thanks to the nature of local optimization methods used to find the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yang Qi , Alexis Decurninge

We deal with the problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on past observations of this process. To solve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

We study the mechanism design problem of facility location on a metric space in the learning-augmented framework, where mechanisms have access to imperfect predictions of the optimal facility locations. Our objective is to design…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Hau Chan , Jianan Lin , Chenhao Wang

We consider the sampling problem for functional PCA (fPCA), where the simplest example is the case of taking time samples of the underlying functional components. More generally, we model the sampling operation as a continuous linear map…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Arash A. Amini , Martin J. Wainwright

We develop a technique for establishing lower bounds on the sample complexity of Least Squares (or, Empirical Risk Minimization) for large classes of functions. As an application, we settle an open problem regarding optimality of Least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Gil Kur , Alexander Rakhlin , Adityanand Guntuboyina

Many applications in mechanical, acoustic, and electronic engineering require estimating complex dynamical models, often represented as additive multi-input multi-output (MIMO) transfer functions with structural constraints. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-21 Rodrigo A. González , Maarten van der Hulst , Koen Classens , Tom Oomen

Stochastic processes are often used to model complex scientific problems in fields ranging from biology and finance to engineering and physical science. This paper investigates rate-optimal estimation of the volatility matrix of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Minjing Tao , Yazhen Wang , Harrison H. Zhou

We compute the structure factor of the $J_1$-$J_2$ Ising model in an external field on the square lattice within the Cluster Variation Method. We use a four point plaquette approximation, which is the minimal one able to capture phases with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-19 Alejandra I. Guerrero , Daniel A. Stariolo

We study minimum contrast estimation for parametric stationary determi-nantal point processes. These processes form a useful class of models for repulsive (or regular, or inhibitive) point patterns and are already applied in numerous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson