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The article describes the diffusion approximation and the method of its use for evaluation of the effectiveness of active queue management (AQM) mechanisms. The presented model combines the approximation and simulation approaches. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-07 Dariusz Marek , Adam Domański , Joanna Domańska , Tadeusz Czachórski , Jerzy Klamka , Jakub Szyguła

Policy targets evolve faster than the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project cycles, complicating adaptation and mitigation planning that must often contend with outdated projections. Climate model output emulators address this gap by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Shahine Bouabid , Andre Nogueira Souza , Raffaele Ferrari

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Diffusion models have demonstrated strong performance in time series forecasting, yet often suffer from semantic misalignment between generated trajectories and conditioning covariates, especially under complex or multimodal conditions. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Rui Ding , Hanyang Meng , Zeyang Zhang , Jielong Yang

Information transfer is an essential factor in determining the robustness of collective behaviour in biological systems with distributed control. The most direct way to study the information transfer mechanisms is to experimentally detect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Andrea Cavagna , Daniele Conti , Irene Giardina , Tomas S. Grigera , Stefania Melillo , Massimiliano Viale

Earth system models (ESMs) are the principal tools used in climate science to generate future climate projections under various atmospheric emissions scenarios on a global or regional scale. Generative deep learning approaches are suitable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Katie Christensen , Lyric Otto , Seth Bassetti , Claudia Tebaldi , Brian Hutchinson

Software effort estimation is a critical part of software engineering. Although many techniques and algorithmic models have been developed and implemented by practitioners, accurate software effort prediction is still a challenging…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-08-04 Wei Lin Du , Danny Ho , Luiz Fernando Capretz

In the era of big data, analysts usually explore various statistical models or machine learning methods for observed data in order to facilitate scientific discoveries or gain predictive power. Whatever data and fitting procedures are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-24 Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh , Yuhong Yang

Datasets encountered when examining deeper issues in ecology and evolution are often complex. This calls for careful strategies for both model building, model selection, and model averaging. Our paper aims at motivating, exhibiting, and…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-19 Gerda Claeskens , Céline Cunen , Nils Lid Hjort

Structural equation models comprise a large class of popular statistical models, including factor analysis models, certain mixed models, and extensions thereof. Model estimation is complicated by the fact that we typically have multiple…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-18 Edgar C. Merkle , Ellen Fitzsimmons , James Uanhoro , Ben Goodrich

We study a class of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with jumps modeling multistage Michaelis--Menten enzyme kinetics, in which a substrate is sequentially transformed into a product via a cascade of intermediate complexes. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Arnab Ganguly , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

This paper presents a new stochastic finite element method for computing structural stochastic responses. The method provides a new expansion of stochastic response and decouples the stochastic response into a combination of a series of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Zhibao Zheng

Soft sensors have been extensively used to monitor key variables using easy-to-measure variables and mathematical models. Partial differential equations (PDEs) are model candidates for soft sensors in industrial processes with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Aina Wang , Pan Qin , Xi-Ming Sun

If the assumed model does not accurately capture the underlying structure of the data, a statistical method is likely to yield sub-optimal results, and so model selection is crucial in order to conduct any statistical analysis. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Vasilis Chasiotis , Dimitris Karlis

Competing risk analysis considers event times due to multiple causes, or of more than one event types. Commonly used regression models for such data include 1) cause-specific hazards model, which focuses on modeling one type of event while…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-27 Jiayi Hou , Anthony Paravati , Ronghui Xu , James Murphy

In this paper we introduce a new feature selection algorithm to remove the irrelevant or redundant features in the data sets. In this algorithm the importance of a feature is based on its fitting to the Catastrophe model. Akaike information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Mahdi Zarei

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

The aim of this paper is to explore and develop advanced spatial Bayesian assessment methods and techniques for land use modeling. The paper provides a comprehensive guide for assessing additional informational entropy value of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-06-17 Kostas Alexandridis , Bryan C. Pijanowski

Occupancy models are typically used to determine the probability of a species being present at a given site while accounting for imperfect detection. The survey data underlying these models often include information on several predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-09 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Claudio Fuentes , Nikolay Bliznyuk