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We propose a new Kalikow decomposition for continuous time multivariate counting processes, on potentially infinite networks. We prove the existence of such a decomposition in various cases. This decomposition allows us to derive simulation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Tien Cuong Phi , Eva Löcherbach , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

Hawkes processes are a class of self-exciting point processes that are used to model complex phenomena. While most applications of Hawkes processes assume that event data occurs in continuous-time, the less-studied discrete-time version of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-01 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin , Jake Easto

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are a class of point processes that can account for complex temporal dynamics among event sequences. In this work, we study the accuracy and computational efficiency of three classes of algorithms which,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodríguez

An important task in the simulation of hard spheres and other hard particles is structure prediction via equilibration. Event-driven molecular dynamics is efficient because its Newtonian dynamics equilibrates fluctuations with the speed of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-05-07 Marco Klement , Michael Engel

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process which models self-excitement among time events. It has been used in a myriad of applications, ranging from finance and earthquakes to crime rates and social network activity analysis.Recently, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Rafael Lima

Hawkes process models are used in settings where past events increase the likelihood of future events occurring. Many applications record events as counts on a regular grid, yet discrete-time Hawkes models remain comparatively underused and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Trinnhallen Brisley , Gordon Ross , Daniel Paulin

We define a numerical method that provides a non-parametric estimation of the kernel shape in symmetric multivariate Hawkes processes. This method relies on second order statistical properties of Hawkes processes that relate the covariance…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 E. Bacry , K. Dayri , J. F. Muzy

Temporal point processes (TPP) are a natural tool for modeling event-based data. Among all TPP models, Hawkes processes have proven to be the most widely used, mainly due to their adequate modeling for various applications, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-03 Guillaume Staerman , Cédric Allain , Alexandre Gramfort , Thomas Moreau

In this work, we propose to catch the complexity of the membrane potential's dynamic of a motoneuron between its spikes, taking into account the spikes from other neurons around. Our approach relies on two types of data: extracellular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion , François Gindraud , Sarah Lemler

The purpose of this paper is to present a recursive algorithm and its implementation in Maple and Mathematica for the computation of joint moments and cumulants of Hawkes processes with exponential kernels. Numerical results and computation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Nicolas Privault

Bidimensional spiking models currently gather a lot of attention for their simplicity and their ability to reproduce various spiking patterns of cortical neurons, and are particularly used for large network simulations. These models…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2012-11-07 Jonathan Touboul

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

Hamiltonian splitting methods are an established technique to derive stable and accurate integration schemes in molecular dynamics, in which additional accuracy can be gained using force gradients. For rigid bodies, a tradition exists in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-10 Ramses van Zon , Igor P. Omelyan , Jeremy Schofield

Bayesian parameter inference for complex stochastic simulators is challenging due to intractable likelihood functions. Existing simulation-based inference methods often require large number of simulations and become costly to use in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Vasilis Gkolemis , Christos Diou , Michael U. Gutmann

Higher order cumulants of point processes, such as skew and kurtosis, require significant computational effort to calculate. The traditional counts-in-cells method implicitly requires a large amount of computation since, for each sampling…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. J. Thacker , H. M. P. Couchman

We present an approach to construct appropriate and efficient emulators for Hamiltonian flow maps. Intended future applications are long-term tracing of fast charged particles in accelerators and magnetic plasma confinement configurations.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-06-02 Katharina Rath , Christopher G. Albert , Bernd Bischl , Udo von Toussaint

In this paper, a two-grid temporal second-order scheme for the two-dimensional nonlinear Volterra integro-differential equation with weakly singular kernel is proposed to reduce the computation time and improve the accuracy of the scheme…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Hao Chen , Mahmoud A. Zaky , Ahmed S. Hendy , Wenlin Qiu

We study the efficiency of algorithms simulating a system evolving with Hamiltonian $H=\sum_{j=1}^m H_j$. We consider high order splitting methods that play a key role in quantum Hamiltonian simulation. We obtain upper bounds on the number…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-10-12 Anargyros Papageorgiou , Chi Zhang

Hawkes stochastic point process models have emerged as valuable statistical tools for analyzing viral contagion. The spatiotemporal Hawkes process characterizes the speeds at which viruses spread within human populations. Unfortunately,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-17 Seyoon Ko , Marc A. Suchard , Andrew J. Holbrook

We provide probabilistic and computational results on Markovian multivariate Hawkes processes and induced population processes. By applying the Markov property, we characterize in closed form a joint transform, bijective to the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 R. S. Karim , R. J. A. Laeven , M , M. Mandjes