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Conventional wisdom suggests that environmental noise drives populations toward extinction. In contrast, we report a paradoxical phenomenon in which stochasticity reverses a deterministic tipping point, thereby preventing collapse. Using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Vinesh Vijayan , B Priyadharshini , R Sathish Kumar , G Janaki

Theoretical ecologists have long sought to understand how the persistence of populations depends on biotic and abiotic factors. Classical work showed that demographic stochasticity causes the mean time to extinction to increase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Otso Ovaskainen , Baruch Meerson

Methods for predicting the probability and timing of a species' extinction are typically based on a combination of theoretical models and empirical data, and focus on single species population dynamics. Of course, species also interact with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Gian Marco Palamara , Gustav W. Delius , Matthew J. Smith , Owen L. Petchey

Transitions to absorbing states are of fundamental importance in non-equilibrium physics as well as ecology. In ecology, absorbing states correspond to the extinction of species. We here study the spatial population dynamics of three…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-27 Steffen Rulands , Alejandro Zielinski , Erwin Frey

Understanding under what conditions interacting populations, whether they be plants, animals, or viral particles, coexist is a question of theoretical and practical importance in population biology. Both biotic interactions and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-04-26 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Michel Benaïm , Kolawolé A. S. Atchadé

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

It is well-established that including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions invalidates the classical deterministic Lotka-Volterra picture of neutral population cycles. In contrast, stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Uwe C. Tauber

Both community ecology and conservation biology seek further understanding of factors governing the advance of an invasive species. We model biological invasion as an individual-based, stochastic process on a two-dimensional landscape. An…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-07-12 Lauren O'Malley , G. Korniss , Thomas Caraco

In complex systems, the interplay between nonlinear and stochastic dynamics, e.g., J. Monod's necessity and chance, gives rise to an evolutionary process in Darwinian sense, in terms of discrete jumps among attractors, with punctuated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-03-18 Hong Qian

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-24 Alice Doimo , Giorgio Nicoletti , Davide Bernardi , Prajwal Padmanabha

Stochastic, spatially extended models for predator-prey interaction display spatio-temporal structures that are not captured by the Lotka-Volterra mean-field rate equations. These spreading activity fronts reflect persistent correlations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Uwe C. Täuber

We study a system of self-propelled, proliferating finite-size disks with game-theoretical interactions, where growth rates depend on local population composition. We analyze how these interactions influence spatial distribution,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-05 Alejandro Almodóvar , Tobias Galla , Cristóbal López

We show how highly-diverse ecological communities may display persistent abundance fluctuations, when interacting through resource competition and subjected to migration from a species pool. This turns out to be closely related to the ratio…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-12 Itay Dalmedigos , Guy Bunin

A fundamental problem in the fields of population genetics, evolution, and community ecology, is the fate of a single mutant, or invader, introduced in a finite population of wild types. For a fixed-size community of $N$ individuals, with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-25 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb

We study a stochastic two-species chemical reaction system with two mechanisms. One mechanism consists of chemical interactions which govern the overall drift of species amounts in the system; the other mechanism consists of resampling,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-06 John K. McSweeney , Lea Popovic

The dynamics of two competing species in a finite size community is one of the most studied problems in population genetics and community ecology. Stochastic fluctuations lead, inevitably, to the extinction of one of the species, but the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-30 Matan Danino , David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

Reaction networks are mathematical models of interacting chemical species that are primarily used in biochemistry. There are two modeling regimes that are typically used, one of which is deterministic and one that is stochastic. In…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-14 David Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti

An organism that is newly introduced into an existing population has a survival probability that is dependent on both the population density of its environment and the competition it experiences with the members of that population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-17 Jason M. Gray , Rowan J. Barker-Clarke , Jacob G. Scott , Michael Hinczewski

Species extinction is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. Competition between species in a population is considered by ecological niche-based theories as a key factor leading to different severity of species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , John T. Bruun