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We develop a robust linear-quadratic mean-field control framework for systemic risk under model uncertainty, in which a central bank jointly optimizes interest rate policy and supervisory monitoring intensity against adversarial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Toshiaki Yamanaka

Predictive Feedback Control is an easy-to-implement method to stabilize unknown unstable periodic orbits in chaotic dynamical systems. Predictive Feedback Control is severely limited because asymptotic convergence speed decreases with…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-03-17 Christian Bick , Christoph Kolodziejski , Marc Timme

The analysis of non-stationary time-series data requires insight into its local and global patterns with physical interpretability. However, traditional smoothing algorithms, such as B-splines, Savitzky-Golay filtering, and Empirical Mode…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-25 Teymur Aghayev

We introduce a heterogeneous spatiotemporal GARCH model for geostatistical data or processes on networks, e.g., for modelling and predicting financial return volatility across firms in a latent spatial framework. The model combines…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-29 Atika Aouri , Philipp Otto

A signal processing method designed for the detection of linear (coherent) behaviors among random fluctuations is presented. It is dedicated to the study of data recorded from nonlinear physical systems. More precisely the method is suited…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-10-03 F. Briolle , B. Ricaud , X. Leoncini

In this paper, We propose a new style panel data factor stochastic volatility model with observable factors and unobservable factors based on the multivariate stochastic volatility model, which is mainly composed of three parts, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-09 Guobin Fang , Huimin Ma , Michelle Xia , Bo Zhang

This article discusses the use of dynamic factor models in macroeconomic forecasting, with a focus on the Factor-Augmented Error Correction Model (FECM). The FECM combines the advantages of cointegration and dynamic factor models, providing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-03 Daoui Marouane

Modern physics experiments often utilize FPGA-based systems for real-time data acquisition. Integrated analog electronics demand for complex calibration routines. Furthermore, versatile configuration and control of the whole system is a key…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-01 Nick Karcher , Richard Gebauer , Robin Bauknecht , Rainer Illichmann , Oliver Sander

Chaotic signals offer promising characteristics for wireless communications due to their wideband nature, low cross-correlation, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Although classical chaotic modulation schemes like Chaos Shift Keying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-11 Marc Martinez-Gost , Ana Pérez-Neira , Miguel Ángel Lagunas

Understanding fracture in cementitious materials caused by the deposition and growth of corrosion products requires scale-bridging approaches due to the large length-scale difference between the micro-pores, where deposition occurs, and the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-08-21 Mohit Pundir , David S. Kammer , Ueli Angst

Anticipating critical transitions in the Earth system is of great societal relevance, yet there may be intrinsic limitations to their predictability. For instance, from the theory of dynamical systems possessing multiple chaotic attractors,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-01-30 Oliver Mehling , Reyk Börner , Valerio Lucarini

This article gives a comprehensive description of the fractal geometry of conformally-invariant (CI) scaling curves, in the plane or half-plane. It focuses on deriving critical exponents associated with interacting random paths, by…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Bertrand Duplantier

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

The stock market, as a cornerstone of the financial markets, places forecasting stock price movements at the forefront of challenges in quantitative finance. Emerging learning-based approaches have made significant progress in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Sida Lin , Yankai Chen , Yiyan Qi , Chenhao Ma , Bokai Cao , Yifei Zhang , Xue Liu , Jian Guo

The recent increase in data availability and reliability has led to a surge in the development of learning-based model predictive control (MPC) frameworks for robot systems. Despite attaining substantial performance improvements over their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Kong Yao Chee , Thales C. Silva , M. Ani Hsieh , George J. Pappas

Accurate path following is challenging for autonomous robots operating in uncertain environments. Adaptive and predictive control strategies are crucial for a nonlinear robotic system to achieve high-performance path following control. In…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Rui Yang , Lei Zheng , Jiesen Pan , Hui Cheng

Volatility is the canonical measure of financial risk, a role largely inherited from Modern Portfolio Theory. Yet, its universality rests on restrictive efficiency assumptions that render volatility, at best, an incomplete proxy for true…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

The task of occupancy forecasting (OCF) involves utilizing past and present perception data to predict future occupancy states of autonomous vehicle surrounding environments, which is critical for downstream tasks such as obstacle avoidance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Jingyi Xu , Xieyuanli Chen , Junyi Ma , Jiawei Huang , Jintao Xu , Yue Wang , Ling Pei

A new framework is developed for control of constrained nonlinear systems with structured parametric uncertainties. Forward invariance of a safe set is achieved through online parameter adaptation and data-driven model estimation. The new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Jonathan P. How

Forecasting chaotic systems is a cornerstone challenge in many scientific fields, complicated by the exponential amplification of even infinitesimal prediction errors. Modern machine learning approaches often falter due to two opposing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Harshil Vejendla
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