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We characterize a stochastic dynamical system with tempered stable noise, by examining its probability density evolution. This probability density function satisfies a nonlocal Fokker-Planck equation. First, we prove a superposition…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Li Lin , Jinqiao Duan , Xiao Wang , Yanjie Zhang

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

We develop a new method to solve the Fokker-Planck or Kolmogorov's forward equation that governs the time evolution of the joint probability density function of a continuous-time stochastic nonlinear system. Numerical solution of this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Kenneth F. Caluya , Abhishek Halder

The aim of this paper is to provide a variational interpretation of the nonlinear filter in continuous time. A time-stepping procedure is introduced, consisting of successive minimization problems in the space of probability densities. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Richard S. Laugesen , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn , Maxim Raginsky

Popular Bayes filters typically rely on linearization techniques such as Taylor series expansion and stochastic linear regression to use the structure of standard Kalman filter. These techniques may introduce large estimation errors in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Shengbo Eben Li

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Filters, especially wide range of Kalman Filters have shown their impacts on predicting variables of stochastic models with higher accuracy then traditional statistic methods. Updating mean and covariance each time makes Bayesian inferences…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-26 Yan Zhao

As a counterpoint to classical stochastic particle methods for diffusion, we develop a deterministic particle method for linear and nonlinear diffusion. At first glance, deterministic particle methods are incompatible with diffusive partial…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-05 José Antonio Carrillo , Katy Craig , Francesco S. Patacchini

Nonlinear state estimation under noisy observations is rapidly intractable as system dimension increases. We introduce an improved Yau-Yau filtering framework that breaks the curse of dimensionality and extends real-time nonlinear filtering…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Shing-Tung Yau , Yi-Shuai Niu

We introduce a novel numerical scheme for solving the Fokker-Planck equation of discretized Dean-Kawasaki models with a functional tensor network ansatz. The Dean-Kawasaki model describes density fluctuations of interacting particle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Xun Tang , Lexing Ying

Bayesian filtering is a key tool in many problems that involve the online processing of data, including data assimilation, optimal control, nonlinear tracking and others. Unfortunately, the implementation of filters for nonlinear, possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Utku Erdogan , Gabriel J. Lord , Joaquin Miguez

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

The probability density function of stochastic differential equations is governed by the Fokker-Planck (FP) equation. A novel machine learning method is developed to solve the general FP equations based on deep neural networks. The proposed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Yong Xu , Hao Zhang , Yongge Li , Kuang Zhou , Qi Liu , Jürgen Kurths

We consider the problem of filtering dynamical systems, possibly stochastic, using observations of statistics. Thus, the computational task is to estimate a time-evolving density $\rho(v, t)$ given noisy observations of the true density…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Eviatar Bach , Tim Colonius , Isabel Scherl , Andrew Stuart

In this letter, a new filtering technique to solve a nonlinear state estimation problem has been developed. It is well known that for a nonlinear system, the prior and posterior probability density functions (pdf) are non-Gaussian in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Kundan Kumar , Shovan Bhaumik

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

Data assimilation methodologies are designed to incorporate noisy observations of a physical system into an underlying model in order to infer the properties of the state of the system. Filters refer to a class of data assimilation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-06 C. E. A. Brett , K. F. Lam , K. J. H. Law , D. S. McCormick , M. R. Scott , A. M. Stuart

In this work, we present a novel forward differential deep learning-based algorithm for solving high-dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). Motivated by the fact that differential deep learning can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Lorenc Kapllani , Long Teng

Using the recently developed Sinkhorn algorithm for approximating the Wasserstein distance between probability distributions represented by Monte Carlo samples, we demonstrate exponential filter stability of two commonly used nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Pinak Mandal , Shashank Kumar Roy , Amit Apte

The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Michael C. Burkhart , David M. Brandman , Carlos E. Vargas-Irwin , Matthew T. Harrison