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We present a derivation and theoretical investigation of the Adams-Bashforth and Adams-Moulton family of linear multistep methods for solving ordinary differential equations, starting from a Gaussian process (GP) framework. In the limit,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Onur Teymur , Konstantinos Zygalakis , Ben Calderhead

We propose a new approach to the semiparametric analysis of panel data binary choice models with fixed effects and dynamics (lagged dependent variables). The model we consider has the same random utility framework as in Honore and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

With the rapid advancements in technology for data collection, the application of the spatial autoregressive (SAR) model has become increasingly prevalent in real-world analysis, particularly when dealing with large datasets. However, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-05 Xuan Liang , Tao Zou

While distributed parameter estimation has been extensively studied in the literature, little has been achieved in terms of robust analysis and tuning methods in the presence of disturbances. However, disturbances such as measurement noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-26 Nicolai Lorenz-Meyer , Juan G. Rueda-Escobedo , Jaime A. Moreno , Johannes Schiffer

Inferring the means in the multivariate normal model $X \sim N_n(\theta, I)$ with unknown mean vector $\theta=(\theta_1,...,\theta_n)' \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and observed data $X=(X_1,...,X_n)'\in {\mathbb R}^n$ is a challenging task, known as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Chuanhai Liu

Process Reward Models (PRMs) emerge as a promising approach for process supervision in mathematical reasoning of Large Language Models (LLMs), which aim to identify and mitigate intermediate errors in the reasoning processes. However, the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Zhenru Zhang , Chujie Zheng , Yangzhen Wu , Beichen Zhang , Runji Lin , Bowen Yu , Dayiheng Liu , Jingren Zhou , Junyang Lin

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

Robust methods have been a successful approach to deal with contaminations and noises in image processing. In this paper, we introduce a new robust method for two-dimensional autoregressive models. Our method, called BMM-2D, relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Grisel Maribel Britos , Silvia María Ojeda

We propose Adaptive Incremental Mixture Markov chain Monte Carlo (AIMM), a novel approach to sample from challenging probability distributions defined on a general state-space. While adaptive MCMC methods usually update a parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Antonietta Mira , Adrian Raftery

Probabilistic time series forecasting predicts the conditional probability distributions of the time series at a future time given past realizations. Such techniques are critical in risk-based decision-making and planning under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Xinyi Wang , Meijen Lee , Qing Zhao , Lang Tong

Data assimilation combines forecasts from a numerical model with observations. Most of the current data assimilation algorithms consider the model and observation error terms as additive Gaussian noise, specified by their covariance…

In this paper, we propose and analyze a novel combination of multilevel Richardson-Romberg (ML2R) and importance sampling algorithm, with the aim of reducing the overall computational time, while achieving desired root-mean-squared error…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Data collection costs can vary widely across variables in data science tasks. Two-phase designs can be employed to save data collection costs. This paper considers the two-phase studies where inexpensive variables are collected for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao

We consider a general multivariate model where univariate marginal distributions are known up to a parameter vector and we are interested in estimating that parameter vector without specifying the joint distribution, except for the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-01 Ivan Medovikov , Valentyn Panchenko , Artem Prokhorov

We consider model selection and estimation for partial spline models and propose a new regularization method in the context of smoothing splines. The regularization method has a simple yet elegant form, consisting of roughness penalty on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Guang Cheng , Hao Helen Zhang , Zuofeng Shang

We prove mixing convergence of the least squares estimator of autoregressive parameters for supercritical autoregressive processes of order 2 with Gaussian innovations having real characteristic roots with different absolute values. We use…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Matyas Barczy , Fanni Nedényi , Gyula Pap

Generalized empirical likelihood and generalized method of moments are well spread methods of resolution of inverse problems in econometrics. Each method defines a specific semiparametric model for which it is possible to calculate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-24 Paul Rochet

Using the classical estimation method of moments, we propose a new semiparametric estimation procedure for multi-parameter copula models. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the obtained estimators are established. By considering an…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-10 Brahim Brahimi , Abdelhakim Necir

With the growing access to administrative health databases, retrospective studies have become crucial evidence for medical treatments. Yet, non-randomized studies frequently face selection biases, requiring mitigation strategies. Propensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Alexandre Abraham , Andrés Hoyos Idrobo

Gridless methods show great superiority in line spectral estimation. These methods need to solve an atomic $l_0$ norm (i.e., the continuous analog of $l_0$ norm) minimization problem to estimate frequencies and model order. Since this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Bai Yan , Qi Zhao , Jin Zhang , J. Andrew Zhang , Xin Yao