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This paper presents a robust alternative to the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for the Polytomous Logistic Regression Model (PLRM), known as the family of minimum R\`enyi Pseudodistance (RP) estimators. The proposed minimum RP…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Elena Castilla

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the Poisson means problem. Existing results establish theoretical properties of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for optimal posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Taehyun Kim

We introduce a surrogate-based black-box optimization method, termed Polynomial-model-based optimization (PMBO). The algorithm alternates polynomial approximation with Bayesian optimization steps, using Gaussian processes to model the error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Janina Schreiber , Pau Batlle , Damar Wicaksono , Michael Hecht

We introduce a new family of MCMC samplers that combine auxiliary variables, Gibbs sampling and Taylor expansions of the target density. Our approach permits the marginalisation over the auxiliary variables yielding marginal samplers, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-26 Michalis K. Titsias , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

We propose a modification of the standard linear implicit Euler integrator for the weak approximation of parabolic semilinear stochastic PDEs driven by additive space-time white noise. The new method can easily be combined with a finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

\textbf{Background:} Mediation analysis is widely used to investigate how treatments and programs exert their effects, but standard ordinary least squares (OLS) inference can be unreliable when regression errors are non-Gaussian. In medical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Mijeong Kim

Latent Gaussian models have a rich history in statistics and machine learning, with applications ranging from factor analysis to compressed sensing to time series analysis. The classical method for maximizing the likelihood of these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Alexander Lin , Bahareh Tolooshams , Yves Atchadé , Demba Ba

In this paper we provide new quantum algorithms with polynomial speed-up for a range of problems for which no such results were known, or we improve previous algorithms. First, we consider the approximation of the frequency moments $F_k$ of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-08 Yassine Hamoudi , Frédéric Magniez

We present a second-order estimator of the mean of a variable subject to missingness, under the missing at random assumption. The estimator improves upon existing methods by using an approximate second-order expansion of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Iván Díaz , Marco Carone , Mark J. van der Laan

The problem of estimating the shift (or, equivalently, the center of symmetry) of an unknown symmetric and periodic function $f$ observed in Gaussian white noise is considered. Using the blockwise Stein method, a penalized profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arnak Dalalyan

In this paper, the use of partitioned linear multistep methods (PLMM) as time integrators for the numerical approximation of some partial differential equations (pdes) is studied. We consider the periodic initial-value problem of two…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Begoña Cano , Angel Durán , Melquíades Rodríguez

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

A common approach to modelling extreme values is to consider the excesses above a high threshold as realisations of a non-homogeneous Poisson process. While this method offers the advantage of modelling using threshold-invariant extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-09 Paul Sharkey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Mimicking and learning the long-term memory of efficient markets is a fundamental problem in the interaction between machine learning and financial economics to sequential data. Despite the prominence of this issue, current treatments…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-12 Shao-Qun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Prediction for high dimensional time series is a challenging task due to the curse of dimensionality problem. Classical parametric models like ARIMA or VAR require strong modeling assumptions and time stationarity and are often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Nikita Puchkin , Aleksandr Timofeev , Vladimir Spokoiny

It is an important task in the literature to check whether a fitted autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is adequate, while the currently used tests may suffer from the size distortion problem when the underlying autoregressive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Xiaohui Liu , Donghui Fan , Xu Zhang , Catherine C. Liu

There has been a recent focus in reinforcement learning on addressing continuous state and action problems by optimizing parameterized policies. PI2 is a recent example of this approach. It combines a derivation from first principles of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Freek Stulp , Olivier Sigaud

We investigate the problem of representing information measures in terms of the moments of the underlying random variables. First, we derive polynomial approximations of the conditional expectation operator. We then apply these…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Wael Alghamdi , Flavio P. Calmon

Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs) and Innovation Method are recognized methods for solving global optimization problems and for the estimation of parameters in diffusion processes, respectively. Well known is also that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Zochil González Arenas , Juan Carlos Jimenez , Li-Vang Lozada-Chang , Roberto Santana
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