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The leading operational Global Ocean Forecasting Systems (GOFSs) use physics-driven numerical forecasting models that solve the partial differential equations with expensive computation. Recently, specifically in atmosphere weather…

The lack of standardization in seizure forecasting slows progress in the field and limits the clinical translation of forecasting models. In this work, we introduce a Python-based framework aimed at streamlining the development, assessment,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-14 Ana Sofia Carmo , Lourenço Abrunhosa Rodrigues , Ana Rita Peralta , Ana Fred , Carla Bentes , Hugo Plácido da Silva

Research artifacts are widely shared to support reproducibility, and artifact evaluation (AE) has become common at many leading conferences. However, AE mainly checks whether artifacts work as claimed and can be reproduced. It largely…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Nanda Rani , Christian Rossow

Recognizing the need for explainable AI (XAI) approaches to enable the successful integration of AI-based ECG prediction models (AI-ECG) into clinical practice, we introduce a framework generating \textbf{Co}unter\textbf{F}actual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jong-Hwan Jang , Junho Song , Yong-Yeon Jo

Coastal flooding poses increasing threats to communities worldwide, necessitating accurate and hyper-local inundation forecasting for effective emergency response. However, real-world deployment of forecasting systems is often constrained…

Daily ETF risk monitoring can become unreliable when market data quality degrades, market conditions shift, or predictive performance becomes unstable. This paper develops a reliability-aware risk monitoring service for next-day tail-risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-20 Tenghan Zhong , Keyuan Wu

Our planet is facing increasingly frequent extreme events, which pose major risks to human lives and ecosystems. Recent advances in machine learning (ML), especially with foundation models (FMs) trained on extensive datasets, excel in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Jie Zhao , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Quasi-periodic eruptions (QPEs) are a class of X-ray repeating burst phenomena discovered in recent years. Many models have been proposed to study this phenomenon, there remains significant debate regarding the physical origin of QPEs. In…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-07-16 Xin Pan , Shuang-Liang Li , Xinwu Cao , Bifang Liu , Weimin Yuan

ESCAPE (European Science Cluster of Astronomy & Particle physics ESFRI research infrastructures) is an EU H2020 project that addresses the Open Science challenges shared by the astrophysics and and accelerator-based physics and nuclear…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-23 Mark G. Allen , Giovanni Lamanna , Xavier Espinal , Kay Graf , Michiel van Haarlem , Stephen Serjeant , Ian Bird , Elena Cuoco , Jayesh Wagh

We numerically and experimentally investigate evaporation of a sessile droplet on a heated substrate. We develop a finite element (FE) model in two-dimensional axisymmetric coordinates to solve coupled transport of heat in the droplet and…

Applied Physics · Physics 2019-07-15 Manish Kumar , Rajneesh Bhardwaj

The article discusses the possibilities of three-step early warning and short-term prediction of earthquakes based on the classical geological model of fault formation and a model of the generation of electromagnetic emissions detected…

The GEneral description of Fission observables (GEF) model was developed to produce fission related nuclear data which are of crucial importance for basic and applied nuclear physics. The investigation of the performance of the GEF code is…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2018-10-17 C. Schmitt , K. -H. Schmidt , B. Jurado

This is the third installment of the Financial Bubble Experiment. Here we provide the digital fingerprint of an electronic document in which we identify 27 bubbles in 27 different global assets; for 25 of these assets, we present windows of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-04 Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette , Maxim Fedorovsky

This study is motivated by the need to develop an efficient numerical model to simulate non-uniform interfacial degradation of reinforcing steel in concrete in an accelerated corrosion setup. In this study, a multi physics finite element…

Applied Physics · Physics 2021-12-23 Shanmukha Shetty , Sauvik Banerjee , Siddharth Tallur , Yogesh M. Desai

The successful prediction of earthquakes is one of the holy grails in Earth Sciences. Traditional predictions use statistical information on recurrence intervals, but those predictions are not accurate enough. In a recent paper, a machine…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-11-16 Silke van Klaveren , Ivan Vasconcelos , Andre Niemeijer

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

Projections of extreme sea levels (ESLs) are critical for managing coastal risks, but are made complicated by deep uncertainties. One key uncertainty is the choice of model structure used to estimate coastal hazards. Differences in model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-15 Tony E. Wong , Travis Torline , Mingxuan Zhang

Within the performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework, the fragility model plays a pivotal role. Such a model represents the probability that the engineering demand parameter (EDP) exceeds a certain safety threshold given a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 X. Zhu , M. Broccardo , B. Sudret

Active robot exploration requires decision-making processes that integrate localization and mapping under tightly coupled uncertainty. However, managing these interdependent uncertainties over long-term operations in large-scale…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Min-Won Seo , Aamodh Suresh , Carlos Nieto-Granda , Solmaz S. Kia

Observation of the solar atmosphere reveals a wide range of motions, from small scale jets and spicules to global-scale coronal mass ejections. Identifying and characterizing these motions are essential to advancing our understanding the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-24 Neal Hurlburt