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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

Multivariate probit models (MPM) have the appealing feature of capturing some of the dependence structure between the components of multidimensional binary responses. The key for the dependence modelling is the covariance matrix of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) has been developed as a flexible family of scalable Bayesian sampling algorithms. However, there has been little theoretical analysis of the impact of minibatch size to the algorithm's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Changyou Chen , Wenlin Wang , Yizhe Zhang , Qinliang Su , Lawrence Carin

We consider parallel asynchronous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for problems where we can leverage (stochastic) gradients to define continuous dynamics which explore the target distribution. We outline a solution strategy for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-09 Jost Tobias Springenberg , Aaron Klein , Stefan Falkner , Frank Hutter

We present an exclusion process based approach for sampling densest $k$-sub-graphs from regular graphs $L$ with connected complement. By interpreting an exclusion process as a Markov chain on a corresponding Token Graph $\mathfrak{L}_k$, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Jens Walter Fischer

Motivated by the physics of strings and branes, we develop a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms involving extended objects. Starting from a collection of parallel Metropolis-Hastings (MH) samplers, we place them on an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Jonathan J. Heckman , Jeffrey G. Bernstein , Ben Vigoda

Uncertainty quantification is a crucial step of cosmological mass-mapping that is often ignored. Suggested methods are typically only approximate or make strong assumptions of Gaussianity of the shear field. Probabilistic sampling methods,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-22 Augustin Marignier , Thomas Kitching , Jason D. McEwen , Ana M. G. Ferreira

We propose an empirical Bayes formulation of the structure learning problem, where the prior specification assumes that all node variables have the same error variance, an assumption known to ensure the identifiability of the underlying…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-17 Hyunwoong Chang , James Cai , Quan Zhou

This paper proposes various new analysis techniques for Bayes networks in which conditional probability tables (CPTs) may contain symbolic variables. The key idea is to exploit scalable and powerful techniques for synthesis problems in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Bahare Salmani , Joost-Pieter Katoen

It is well-known that computing a Markov basis for a discrete loglinear model is very hard in general. Thus, we focus on connecting tables in a fiber via a subset of a Markov basis and in this paper, we consider connecting tables if we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Ruriko Yoshida , David Barnhill

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods such as Gibbs sampling are finding widespread use in applied statistics and machine learning. These often lead to difficult computational problems, which are increasingly being solved on parallel and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Alexander Terenin , Eric P. Xing

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

Bayesian regression trees are flexible non-parametric models that are well suited to many modern statistical regression problems. Many such tree models have been proposed, from the simple single- tree model to more complex tree ensembles.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-09 M. T. Pratola

The sampling efficiency of MCMC methods in Bayesian inference for stochastic volatility (SV) models is known to highly depend on the actual parameter values, and the effectiveness of samplers based on different parameterizations varies…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-02 Darjus Hosszejni , Gregor Kastner

We consider conditional exact tests of factor effects in designed experiments for discrete response variables. Similarly to the analysis of contingency tables, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be used for performing exact tests,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-14 Satoshi Aoki

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn
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