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Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

Cosmological experiments often employ Bayesian workflows to derive constraints on cosmological and astrophysical parameters from their data. It has been shown that these constraints can be combined across different probes such as Planck and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-28 Harry Bevins , Will Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov

Sampling-based inference techniques are central to modern cosmological data analysis; these methods, however, scale poorly with dimensionality and typically require approximate or intractable likelihoods. In this paper we describe how…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-09 Alex Cole , Benjamin Kurt Miller , Samuel J. Witte , Maxwell X. Cai , Meiert W. Grootes , Francesco Nattino , Christoph Weniger

We present the public release of the Bayesian sampling algorithm for cosmology, CosmoPMC (Cosmology Population Monte Carlo). CosmoPMC explores the parameter space of various cosmological probes, and also provides a robust estimate of the…

Nested sampling is a powerful approach to Bayesian inference ultimately limited by the computationally demanding task of sampling from a heavily constrained probability distribution. An effective algorithm in its own right, Hamiltonian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-02 M. J. Betancourt

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

This paper deals with some computational aspects in the Bayesian analysis of statistical models with intractable normalizing constants. In the presence of intractable normalizing constants in the likelihood function, traditional MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2008-04-22 Yves Atchade , Nicolas Lartillot , Christian P. Robert

A recently proposed generalized entropy by Luciano and Saridakis extends the standard Boltzmann-Gibbs and Bekenstein-Hawking framework through a microscopically motivated construction involving two independent entropic exponents. When…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-21 Matías Leizerovich , Susana J. Landau , Giuseppe Gaetano Luciano , Andreas Papatriantafyllou , Emmanuel N. Saridakis

This paper introduces the Bayesian Inference Engine (BIE), a general parallel, optimised software package for parameter inference and model selection. This package is motivated by the analysis needs of modern astronomical surveys and the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Martin D. Weinberg

We present a unified Bayesian assessment of model comparison and data-set consistency for LCDM (cold dark matter plus a cosmological constant) and minimal extensions (neutrino mass, spatial curvature, constant or evolving dark energy) using…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-09 Lukas Tobias Hergt , Sophie Henrot-Versillé , Matthieu Tristram , Douglas Scott

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer robust uncertainty quantification in model predictions, but training them presents a significant computational challenge. This is mainly due to the problem of sampling multimodal posterior distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Ratneel Deo , Scott Sisson , Jody M. Webster , Rohitash Chandra

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have revolutionised Bayesian data analysis over the years by making the direct computation of posterior probability densities feasible on modern workstations. However, the calculation of the prior…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Rutger van Haasteren

Assessing the consistency of parameter constraints derived from different cosmological probes is an important way to test the validity of the underlying cosmological model. In an earlier work [Nicola et al., 2017], we computed constraints…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-01 Andrina Nicola , Adam Amara , Alexandre Refregier

A method is presented for performing joint analyses of cosmological datasets, in which the weight assigned to each dataset is determined directly by it own statistical properties. The weights are considered in a Bayesian context as a set of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , S. L. Bridle , O. Lahav

Our aim is to present a fast and general Bayesian inference framework based on the synergy between machine learning techniques and standard sampling methods and apply it to infer the physical properties of clumpy dusty torus using infrared…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 A. Asensio Ramos , C. Ramos Almeida

Bayesian parameter inference is an essential tool in modern cosmology, and typically requires the calculation of $10^5$--$10^6$ theoretical models for each inference of model parameters for a given dataset combination. Computing these…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-16 Andreas Nygaard , Emil Brinch Holm , Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), the field of stochastic algorithms built on the concept of sampling, has countless applications in science and technology. The overwhelming majority of MCMC algorithms are time-reversible and satisfy the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-28 Fabian H. L. Essler , Werner Krauth