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Extreme weather events have an enormous impact on society and are expected to become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this context, resilience planning becomes crucial for risk mitigation and coping with these extreme…

Projections of storm surge return levels are a basic requirement for effective management of coastal risks. A common approach to estimate hazards posed by extreme sea levels is to use a statistical model, which may use a time series of a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-28 Tony E. Wong

Having become vital to satisfying basic human needs, water distribution systems (WDSs) are considered critical infrastructure. They are vulnerable to critical events such as extreme weather, natural and man-made disasters, armed conflicts…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Michaela Leštáková , Kevin Tiernan Logan , Imke-Sophie Rehm , Peter F. Pelz , John Friesen

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Samita Rani Pani , Pallav Kumar Bera , Rajat Kanti Samal

The power system is among the most important critical infrastructures in urban cities and is getting increasingly essential in supporting people s daily activities. However, it is also susceptible to most natural disasters such as tsunamis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 Chen Xia , Yuqing Hu , Jianli Chen

This paper develops a spatiotemporal probabilistic impact assessment framework to analyze and quantify the compounding effect of hurricanes and storm surges on the bulk power grid. The probabilistic synthetic hurricane tracks are generated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-13 Abodh Poudyal , Charlotte Wertz , Amy Mi Nguyen , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Vibha Gunturi , Anamika Dubey

Uncertainty in return level estimates for rare events, like the intensity of large rainfall events, makes it difficult to develop strategies to mitigate related hazards, like flooding. Latent spatial extremes models reduce uncertainty by…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-27 Joshua Hewitt , Miranda J. Fix , Jennifer A. Hoeting , Daniel S. Cooley

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

This paper discusses some aspects referring to the characterization and modelling of the resilience of distribution systems in the presence of heat waves. The aim is to identify the specific features that can lead to more detailed modelling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-19 Andrea Mazza , Gianfranco Chicco , Carmen L. T. Borges

Ice storms are extreme weather events that can have devastating implications for the sustainability of natural ecosystems as well as man made infrastructure. Ice storms are caused by a complex mix of atmospheric conditions and are among the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-15 Ranjini Swaminathan , Mohan Sridharan , Katharine Hayhoe

Climate change poses significant challenges to the agricultural and financial sectors, affecting crop productivity and overall financial stability. This study evaluates the robustness of the Actuaries Climate Index$^{TM}$ (ACI), a newer…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-05 Cem Yavrum , A. Sevtap Selcuk-Kestel , José Garrido

Thunderstorm-driven power outages are difficult to predict because most storms do not cause damage, convective processes occur rapidly and chaotically, and the available public data are noisy and incomplete. Severe convective storms now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Iryna Stanishevska , Seth Guikema

In this paper, the variable wind power is incorporated into the dynamic model for long-term stability analysis. A theory-based method is proposed for power systems with wind power to conduct long-term stability analysis, which is able to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu , Tao Wang

Given the importance of public support for policy change and implementation, public policymakers and researchers have attempted to understand the factors associated with this support for climate change mitigation policy. In this article, we…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-24 Romit Maulik , Junghwa Choi , Wesley Wehde , Prasanna Balaprakash

Electrical power grids are vulnerable to cascading failures that can lead to large blackouts. Detection and prevention of cascading failures in power grids is impor- tant. Currently, grid operators mainly monitor the state (loading level)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-20 Martijn Warnier , Stefan Dulman , Yakup Koç , Eric Pauwels

One measurement modality for rainfall is a fixed location rain gauge. However, extreme rainfall, flooding, and other climate extremes often occur at larger spatial scales and affect more than one location in a community. For example, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Carlynn Fagnant , Julia C. Schedler , Katherine B. Ensor

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

The climate belongs to the class of non-equilibrium forced and dissipative systems, for which most results of quasi-equilibrium statistical mechanics, including the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, do not apply. We show for the first time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Stefania Sarno

Incorporating renewable energy sources into modern power grids has significantly decreased system inertia, which has raised concerns about power system vulnerability to disturbances and frequency instability. The conventional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-29 Negar Monir , Mahdieh S. Sadabadi , Sadegh Soudjani