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Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-20 Evan Kodra , Singdhansu Chatterjee , Stone Chen , Auroop R. Ganguly

Expansion planning problems refer to the monetary and unit investment needed for energy production or storage. An inherent element in these problems is the element of stochasticity in various aspects, such as the generation output of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-27 S. Tsianikas , N. Yousefi , J. Zhou , D. W. Coit

Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Xiaolin Chen , Qiuhua Huang , Yuqi Zhou

Due to the threat of changing climate and extreme weather events, the infrastructure of the United States Army installations is at risk. More than ever, climate resilience measures are needed to protect facility assets that support critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Haley Dozier , Althea Henslee

We consider power line outages in the transmission system of the power grid, and specifically those caused by a natural disaster or a large scale physical attack. In the transmission system, an outage of a line may lead to overload on other…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-06-07 Andrey Bernstein , Daniel Bienstock , David Hay , Meric Uzunoglu , Gil Zussman

Major disasters such as wildfire, tornado, hurricane, tropical storm, flooding cause disruptions in infrastructure systems such as power outage, disruption to water supply system, wastewater management, telecommunication failures, and…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-24 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

The increasing frequency and severity of High Impact and Low Probability events such as hurricanes and windstorms pose significant challenges to the resilience of electrical power distribution systems, particularly in regions of New England…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Hritik Gopal Shah , Gregory Giustino , Elli Ntakou

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Quantification of relations between measured variables of interest by statistical measures of dependence is a common step in analysis of climate data. The term "connectivity" is used in the network context including the study of complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-12 Jaroslav Hlinka , David Hartman , Martin Vejmelka , Dagmar Novotná , Milan Paluš

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

Networks are at the core of modeling many engineering contexts, mainly in the case of infrastructures and communication systems. The resilience of a network, which is the property of the system capable of absorbing external shocks, is then…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Roy Cerqueti , Giovanna Ferraro , Antonio Iovanella

Ambient Forcing is a novel method to sample random states from manifolds of differential-algebraic equations (DAE). These states can represent local perturbations of nodes in power systems with loads, which introduces constraints into the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-30 Anna Büttner , Jürgen Kurths , Frank Hellmann

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

Most machine learning models operate under the assumption that the training, testing and deployment data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). This assumption doesn't generally hold true in a natural setting. Usually, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Kumud Lakara , Akshat Bhandari , Pratinav Seth , Ujjwal Verma

Providing situational awareness in light of severe coordinated cyber-attacks on power grids, where many measurements may be untrusted, is necessary for reliable monitoring and resilient operation of the grid. In this scenario, the set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-13 Ana Jevtić , Marija Ilić

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

This paper concerns the resilience of systems with wind power upon wind reduction by evaluating the potential of corrective actions, such as generation and load dispatch, on minimizing the effects of transmission line failures. Three…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-13 Siyu Liu , Marija Ilic

Resiliency has garnered attention in the management of critical infrastructure as a metric of system performance, but there are significant roadblocks to its implementation in a realistic decision-making framework. Contrasted to risk and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-08 Vincent P. Paglioni , Graeme Troxell , Aaron Brown , Steve Conrad , Mazdak Arabi

We present and analyze a three-stage stochastic optimization model that integrates output from a geoscience-based flood model with a power flow model for transmission grid resilience planning against flooding. The proposed model coordinates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Ashutosh Shukla , Erhan Kutanoglu , John Hasenbein

The operation of power systems is affected by diverse technical, economic and social factors. Social behaviour determines load patterns, electricity markets regulate the generation and weather-dependent renewables introduce power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-04 Johannes Kruse , Eike Cramer , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut
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