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Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

A promising approach to improve cloud parameterizations within climate models and thus climate projections is to use deep learning in combination with training data from storm-resolving model (SRM) simulations. The ICOsahedral…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-18 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Pierre Gentine , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Marco A. Giorgetta , Veronika Eyring

Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are an essential tool for analysing regional climate change impacts as they provide simulations with more small-scale details and expected smaller errors than global climate models. There has been much effort…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-24 Ernesto Pasten-Zapata , Julie Jones , Helen Moggridge , Martin Widmann

The so-called thermodynamic anomalies of water form an integral part of the peculiar behaviour of this both important and ubiquitous molecule. In this paper our aim is to establish whether the recently proposed TIP4P/2005 model is capable…

Accurate regional climate forecast calls for high-resolution downscaling of Global Climate Models (GCMs). This work presents a deep-learning-based multi-model evaluation and downscaling framework ranking 32 Coupled Model Intercomparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Parthiban Loganathan , Elias Zea , Ricardo Vinuesa , Evelyn Otero

In-Context Operator Networks (ICONs) have demonstrated the ability to learn operators across diverse partial differential equations using few-shot, in-context learning. However, existing ICONs process each spatial point as an individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Yadi Cao , Yuxuan Liu , Liu Yang , Rose Yu , Hayden Schaeffer , Stanley Osher

We consider the effect of different temporal error structures on the inference of equilibrium climate sensitivity\footnote{ECS is defined as the realized equilibrium surface warming---globally-averaged surface air temperature---for a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-13 B. T. Nadiga , N. M. Urban

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential for understanding the interaction between human activities and the Earth's climate. However, the computational demands of ESMs often limit the number of simulations that can be run, hindering the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Meteorological ensembles are a collection of scenarios for future weather delivered by a meteorological center. Such ensembles form the main source of valuable information for probabilistic forecasting which aims at producing a predictive…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-07 Marie Courbariaux , Pierre Barbillon , Luc Perreault , Éric Parent

Climate projections have uncertainties related to components of the climate system and their interactions. A typical approach to quantifying these uncertainties is to use climate models to create ensembles of repeated simulations under…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Graham Clyne , Guillaume Couairon , Guillaume Gastineau , Claire Monteleoni , Anastase Charantonis

Projections from global climate models reveal a significant inter-model spread in future rainfall changes in the tropical Atlantic by the end of the 21st century, including alterations to the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-02 Giada Cerato , Katinka Bellomo , Roberta D Agostino , Jost von Hardenberg

This study explores the impacts of climate change on the hydrology of the headwater areas of the Duero River Basin, the largest basin of the Iberian Peninsula. To this end, an ensemble of 18 Euro-CORDEX model experiments was gathered for…

The surface evapotranspiration (SFCEVP) plays an essential role in climate, being the link between the hydrological and energy cycles. Therefore, how it is approximated and its implication in the regional climate are important aspects to…

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

Forecasting surface water dynamics is crucial for water resource management and climate change adaptation. However, the field lacks comprehensive datasets and standardized benchmarks. In this paper, we introduce HydroChronos, a large-scale,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Daniele Rege Cambrin , Eleonora Poeta , Eliana Pastor , Isaac Corley , Tania Cerquitelli , Elena Baralis , Paolo Garza

A theoretical framework is established to model the evaporation from continuously fed droplets, promising tools in the thermal management of high heat flux electronics. Using the framework, a comprehensive model is developed for a…

Applied Physics · Physics 2020-08-25 Yigit Akkus , Barbaros Cetin , Zafer Dursunkaya

This work presents a novel diagnostic tool for studying the thermodynamics of the climate systems with a wide range of applications, from sensitivity studies to model tuning. It includes a number of modules for assessing the internal energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-13 Valerio Lembo , Frank Lunkeit , Valerio Lucarini

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

We investigate how the climate models contributing to the PCMDI/CMIP3 dataset describe the hydrological cycle over four major South and Southeast Asian river basins (Indus, Ganges, Brahmaputra and Mekong) for the 20th, 21st (13 models) and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-12-20 Shabeh ul Hasson , Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale

Projections of future climate change rely heavily on climate models, and combining climate models through a multi-model ensemble is both more accurate than a single climate model and valuable for uncertainty quantification. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-27 Huang Huang , Dorit Hammerling , Bo Li , Richard Smith