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We contrast Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), the theoretical basis for the development of financial instruments, with a dynamical picture of an interacting market, in a simple setting. The proliferation of financial instruments apparently…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-08 Fabio Caccioli , Matteo Marsili , Pierpaolo Vivo

We consider a class of generalized capital asset pricing models in continuous time with a finite number of agents and tradable securities. The securities may not be sufficient to span all sources of uncertainty. If the agents have…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-23 Ulrich Horst , Michael Kupper , Andrea Macrina , Christoph Mainberger

We propose a projected gradient dynamical system as a model for a bargaining scheme for an asset for which the two interested agents have personal valuations which do not initially coincide. The personal valuations are formed using…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-15 D. Pinheiro , A. A. Pinto , S. Z. Xanthopoulos , A. N. Yannacopoulos

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

High-dimensional sparse matrix data frequently arise in various applications. A notable example is the weighted word-word co-occurrence count data, which summarizes the weighted frequency of word pairs appearing within the same context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Taejoon Kim , Haiyan Wang

We analyze a varying-coefficient dynamic spatial autoregressive model with spatial fixed effects. One salient feature of the model is the incorporation of multiple spatial weight matrices through their linear combinations with varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Zetai Cen , Yudong Chen , Clifford Lam

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

In financial trading, factor models are widely used to price assets and capture excess returns from mispricing. Recently, we have witnessed the rise of variational autoencoder-based latent factor models, which learn latent factors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Yilei Zhao , Wentao Zhang , Tingran Yang , Yong Jiang , Fei Huang , Wei Yang Bryan Lim

The Shapley value, which is arguably the most popular approach for assigning a meaningful contribution value to players in a cooperative game, has recently been used intensively in explainable artificial intelligence. Its meaningfulness is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Patrick Kolpaczki , Viktor Bengs , Maximilian Muschalik , Eyke Hüllermeier

Ridesharing markets are complex: drivers are strategic, rider demand and driver availability are stochastic, and complex city-scale phenomena like weather induce large scale correlation across space and time. At the same time, past work has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-20 J. Massey Cashore , Peter I. Frazier , Eva Tardos

Spatial variables can be observed in many different forms, such as regularly sampled random fields (lattice data), point processes, and randomly sampled spatial processes. Joint analysis of such collections of observations is clearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Jake P. Grainger , Tuomas A. Rajala , David J. Murrell , Sofia C. Olhede

We present a novel approach for parameter calibration of the Heston model for pricing an Asian put option, namely space mapping. Since few parameters of the Heston model can be directly extracted from real market data, calibration to real…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Anna Clevenhaus , Claudia Totzeck , Matthias Ehrhardt

This paper studies an asset pricing model in a partially observable market with a large number of heterogeneous agents using the mean field game theory. In this model, we assume that investors can only observe stock prices and must infer…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-02 Masashi Sekine

Spatial heterogeneity plays an important role in complex ecosystem dynamics, and therefore is also an important consideration in sustainable resource management. However, little is known about how spatial effects can influence management…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-29 Nao Takashina , Akihiko Mougi

This paper revisits building machine learning algorithms that involve interactions between entities, such as those between financial assets in an actively managed portfolio, or interactions between users in a social network. Our goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Qiong Wu , Jian Li , Zhenming Liu , Yanhua Li , Mihai Cucuringu

We consider dynamic pricing strategies in a streamed longitudinal data set-up where the objective is to maximize, over time, the cumulative profit across a large number of customer segments. We consider a dynamic model with the consumers'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Rashmi Ranjan Bhuyan , Adel Javanmard , Sungchul Kim , Gourab Mukherjee , Ryan A. Rossi , Tong Yu , Handong Zhao

Latent variable models are an elegant framework for capturing rich probabilistic dependencies in many applications. However, current approaches typically parametrize these models using conditional probability tables, and learning relies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Ankur P. Parikh , Le Song , Mariya Ishteva , Gabi Teodoru , Eric P. Xing

The identification of latent mediator variables is typically conducted using standard structural equation models (SEMs). When SEM is applied to mediation analysis with a causal interpretation, valid inference relies on the strong assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Sofia Morelli , Roberto Faleh , Holger Brandt

This paper offers an expository overview of the field of spatial econometrics. It first justifies the necessity of special statistical procedures for the analysis of spatial data and then proceeds to describe the fundamentals of these…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-12 Alexander J. Tybl

We analyze the stability properties of equilibrium solutions and periodicity of orbits in a two-dimensional dynamical system whose orbits mimic the evolution of the price of an asset and the excess demand for that asset. The construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladimir Belitsky , Antonio L. Pereira , Fernando P. de Almeida Prado