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Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

We derive a Gaussian approximation result for the maximum of a sum of random vectors under $(2+\iota)$-th moments. Our main theorem is abstract and nonasymptotic, and can be applied to a variety of statistical learning problems. The proof…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Qiang Sun

Gaussian process modeling is a standard tool for building emulators for computer experiments, which are usually used to study deterministic functions, for example, a solution to a given system of partial differential equations. This work…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Wenjia Wang

Let $X$ be a symmetric, isotropic random vector in $\mathbb{R}^m$ and let $X_1...,X_n$ be independent copies of $X$. We show that under mild assumptions on $\|X\|_2$ (a suitable thin-shell bound) and on the tail-decay of the marginals…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

We introduce an empirical functional $\Psi$ that is an optimal uniform mean estimator: Let $F\subset L_2(\mu)$ be a class of mean zero functions, $u$ is a real valued function, and $X_1,\dots,X_N$ are independent, distributed according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

The majorizing measure theorem of Fernique and Talagrand is a fundamental result in the theory of random processes. It relates the boundedness of random processes indexed by elements of a metric space to complexity measures arising from…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Yifeng Chu , Maxim Raginsky

We derive strong approximations to the supremum of the non-centered empirical process indexed by a possibly unbounded VC-type class of functions by the suprema of the Gaussian and bootstrap processes. The bounds of these approximations are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

This paper presents new uniform Gaussian strong approximations for empirical processes indexed by classes of functions based on $d$-variate random vectors ($d\geq1$). First, a uniform Gaussian strong approximation is established for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Matias D. Cattaneo , Ruiqi Rae Yu

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

It has long been agreed by academics that the inversion method is the method of choice for generating random variates, given the availability of the quantile function. However for several probability distributions arising in practice a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Asad Munir , William Shaw

Let $(X, \mfA,P)$, $(Y, \mfB,Q)$ be two arbitrary probability spaces and $\P:=\{(\mfA,P_y):y\in{Y}\}$ be a regular conditional probability on $\mfA$ with respect to $Q$. Denote by $R$ the skew product of $P$ and $Q$ determined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Kazimierz Musiał

Let $X$ be a $d\times d$ symmetric random matrix with independent but non-identically distributed Gaussian entries. It has been conjectured by Lata\l{a} that the spectral norm of $X$ is always of the same order as the largest Euclidean norm…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Ramon van Handel

Self-normalized processes are basic to many probabilistic and statistical studies. They arise naturally in the the study of stochastic integrals, martingale inequalities and limit theorems, likelihood-based methods in hypothesis testing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Victor H. de la Peña , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai

We obtain a Bernstein type Gaussian concentration inequality for martingales. Our inequality improves the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for moderate deviations $x$. Following the work of McDiarmid (1989), Talagrand (1996) and Boucheron, Lugosi…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Xiequan Fan

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

We study moderate deviations of suprema of parametrized sequences of sample bounded Gaussian processes $\{X _x(t), t\in T _x\}$, and first present recent sharp bounds in simple cases. In the almost periodic case, we prove an approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Michel Weber

In this paper we complete the full characterization of the expected suprema of infinitely divisible processes. In particular, we remove the technical assumption called $H(C_{0},\delta)$ condition and settle positively the conjecture posed…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Witold Bednorz , Rafał Martynek

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful interpolation technique due to its flexibility in capturing non-linearity. In this paper, we provide a general framework for understanding the frequentist coverage of point-wise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-17 Yun Yang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati