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This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

Bitcoin and its decentralized computing paradigm for digital currency trading are one of the most disruptive technology in the 21st century. This paper presents a novel approach to developing a Bitcoin transaction forecast model,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Wenqi Wei , Qi Zhang , Ling Liu

Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) introduced by Friedman is a powerful supervised learning algorithm that is very widely used in practice---it routinely features as a leading algorithm in machine learning competitions such as Kaggle and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Haihao Lu , Rahul Mazumder

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Bitcoin price forecasting is characterized by extreme volatility and non-stationarity, often defying traditional univariate time-series models over long horizons. This paper addresses a critical gap by integrating Global M2 Liquidity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Sravan Karthick T

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

Diabetes mellitus is a chronic metabolic disorder that has emerged as one of the major health problems worldwide due to its high prevalence and serious complications, which are pricey to manage. Effective management requires good glycemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Abolfazl Zarghani

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

This paper focuses on the application and optimization of LSTM model in financial risk prediction. The study starts with an overview of the architecture and algorithm foundation of LSTM, and then details the model training process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Ke Xu , Yu Cheng , Shiqing Long , Junjie Guo , Jue Xiao , Mengfang Sun

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

The primary objective of this research is to build a Momentum Transformer that is expected to outperform benchmark time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies. We extend the ideas introduced in the paper Trading with the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 Max Mason , Waasi A Jagirdar , David Huang , Rahul Murugan

Large Language Models (LLM) have brought numerous of new applications to Machine Learning (ML). In the context of tabular data (TD), recent studies show that TabLLM is a very powerful mechanism for few-shot-learning (FSL) applications, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Carlos Huertas

This research explores a relatively unexplored area of predicting cryptocurrency staking rewards, offering potential insights to researchers and investors. We investigate two predictive methodologies: a) a straightforward sliding-window…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-23 Sauren Gupta , Apoorva Hathi Katharaki , Yifan Xu , Bhaskar Krishnamachari , Rajarshi Gupta

The application of deep learning models for stock price forecasting in emerging markets remains underexplored despite their potential to capture complex temporal dependencies. This study develops and evaluates a Long Short-Term Memory…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Ahad Yaqoob , Syed M. Abdullah

In this paper, we discuss the method of Bayesian regression and its efficacy for predicting price variation of Bitcoin, a recently popularized virtual, cryptographic currency. Bayesian regression refers to utilizing empirical data as proxy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-10-07 Devavrat Shah , Kang Zhang

Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Sangyeon Kim , Myungjoo Kang

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

Federated machine learning systems have been widely used to facilitate the joint data analytics across the distributed datasets owned by the different parties that do not trust each others. In this paper, we proposed a novel Gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Zhi Fengy , Haoyi Xiong , Chuanyuan Song , Sijia Yang , Baoxin Zhao , Licheng Wang , Zeyu Chen , Shengwen Yang , Liping Liu , Jun Huan

Financial trading environments are characterized by high volatility, numerous macroeconomic signals, and dynamically shifting market regimes, where traditional reinforcement learning methods often fail to deliver breakthrough performance.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Yen-Ku Liu , Yun-Huei Pan , Pei-Fan Lu , Yun-Cheng Tsai , Samuel Yen-Chi Chen
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