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This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

Machine learning has been widely verified and applied in chemoinformatics, and have achieved outstanding results in the prediction, modification, and optimization of luminescence, magnetism, and electrode materials. Here, we propose a…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-07-07 Zhenyu Chen , Jiahao Li , Yuzhi Xu

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

Accurate stock price prediction is crucial for investors and financial institutions, yet the complexity of the stock market makes it highly challenging. This study aims to construct an effective model to enhance the prediction ability of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Zi-xi Hu , Bao Shen , Yiwen Hu , Chen Zhao

In this work, the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), which is a modern decision tree based machine-learning algorithm, is used to study the fusion cross section (CS) of heavy-ion reaction. Several basic quantities (e.g., mass…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-10-10 Zhilong Li , Zepeng Gao , Ling Liu , Yongjia Wang , Long Zhu , Qingfeng Li

This paper studies how to forecast daily closing price series of Bitcoin, using data on prices and volumes of prior days. Bitcoin price behaviour is still largely unexplored, presenting new opportunities. We compared our results with two…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Nicola Uras , Lodovica Marchesi , Michele Marchesi , Roberto Tonelli

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

One of the most enticing research areas is the stock market, and projecting stock prices may help investors profit by making the best decisions at the correct time. Deep learning strategies have emerged as a critical technique in the field…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Karan Pardeshi , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

We explore the application of LLM-driven algorithm optimization to several common tasks in quantitative finance. MadEvolve, a general-purpose algorithm optimization framework inspired by DeepMind's Alpha-Evolve, was recently developed to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-25 Yurii Kvasiuk , Tianyi Li , Owen Colegrove , Moritz Münchmeyer

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

The Bitcoin Lightning Network is a Layer 2 payment protocol that addresses Bitcoin's scalability by facilitating quick and cost effective transactions through payment channels. This research explores the feasibility of using machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Vincent Davis , Emanuele Rossi , Vikash Singh

We propose an ensemble method to improve the generalization performance of trading strategies trained by deep reinforcement learning algorithms in a highly stochastic environment of intraday cryptocurrency portfolio trading. We adopt a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Shuyang Wang , Diego Klabjan

We compare traditional approach of computing logarithmic returns with the fractional differencing method and its tempered extension as methods of data preparation before their usage in advanced machine learning models. Differencing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Janusz Gajda

Financial markets are highly complex and volatile; thus, learning about such markets for the sake of making predictions is vital to make early alerts about crashes and subsequent recoveries. People have been using learning tools from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Kelum Gajamannage , Yonggi Park

Bitcoin, as one of the most popular cryptocurrency, is recently attracting much attention of investors. Bitcoin price prediction task is consequently a rising academic topic for providing valuable insights and suggestions. Existing bitcoin…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Xiao Li , Weili Wu

The detection of outliers within cryptocurrency limit order books (LOBs) is of paramount importance for comprehending market dynamics, particularly in highly volatile and nascent regulatory environments. This study conducts a comprehensive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Ivan Letteri

Financial trading is at the forefront of time-series analysis, and has grown hand-in-hand with it. The advent of electronic trading has allowed complex machine learning solutions to enter the field of financial trading. Financial markets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Prakhar Ganesh , Puneet Rakheja

This study first reconstructs three deep learning powered stock trading models and their associated strategies that are representative of distinct approaches to the problem and established upon different aspects of the many theories evolved…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Haohan Zhang

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Gang Hu
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