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Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) upgrade ordinary GPs through functional composition, in which intermediate GP layers warp the original inputs, providing flexibility to model non-stationary dynamics. Two DGP regimes have emerged in recent…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-16 Annie Sauer , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy

A systematic approach based on the principles of supervised learning and design of experiments concepts is introduced to build a surrogate model for estimating the optical properties of fractal aggregates. The surrogate model is built on…

In chemical process engineering, surrogate models of complex systems are often necessary for tasks of domain exploration, sensitivity analysis of the design parameters, and optimization. A suite of computational fluid dynamics (CFD)…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Gabriel F. N. Gonçalves , Assen Batchvarov , Yuyi Liu , Yuxin Liu , Lachlan Mason , Indranil Pan , Omar K. Matar

Recent work on simultaneous trajectory estimation and mapping (STEAM) for mobile robots has found success by representing the trajectory as a Gaussian process. Gaussian processes can represent a continuous-time trajectory, elegantly handle…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-04-13 Xinyan Yan , Vadim Indelman , Byron Boots

This paper presents a probabilistic surrogate model for the accelerated design of electric vehicle battery enclosures with a focus on crash performance. The study integrates high-throughput finite element simulations and Gaussian Process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Shadab Anwar Shaikh , Harish Cherukuri , Kranthi Balusu , Ram Devanathan , Ayoub Soulami

This survey examines recent advances in generating digital twins from visual data. These digital twins - virtual 3D replicas of physical assets - can be applied to robotics, media content creation, design or construction workflows. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Andrew Melnik , Benjamin Alt , Giang Nguyen , Artur Wilkowski , Maciej Stefańczyk , Qirui Wu , Sinan Harms , Helge Rhodin , Manolis Savva , Michael Beetz

The next generation of Department of Energy supercomputers will be capable of exascale computation. For these machines, far more computation will be possible than that which can be saved to disk. As a result, users will be unable to rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Michael Grosskopf , Kellin Rumsey , Ayan Biswas , Earl Lawrence

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Yinjun Wu , Jingchao Ni , Wei Cheng , Bo Zong , Dongjin Song , Zhengzhang Chen , Yanchi Liu , Xuchao Zhang , Haifeng Chen , Susan Davidson

Collecting operationally realistic data to inform machine learning models can be costly. Before collecting new data, it is helpful to understand where a model is deficient. For example, object detectors trained on images of rare objects may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Anna R. Flowers , Christopher T. Franck , Robert B. Gramacy , Justin A. Krometis

Gravitational wave astrophysics relies heavily on the use of matched filtering both to detect signals in noisy data from detectors, and to perform parameter estimation on those signals. Matched filtering relies upon prior knowledge of the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-03-18 Daniel Williams , Ik Siong Heng , Jonathan Gair , James A Clark , Bhavesh Khamesra

In many machine learning applications, one wants to learn the unknown objective and constraint functions of an optimization problem from available data and then apply some technique to attain a local optimizer of the learned model. This…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-05 Harsh A. Shukla , Tafarel de Avila Ferreira , Timm Faulwasser , Dominique Bonvin , Colin N. Jones

Sparse variational Gaussian processes (GPs) construct tractable posterior approximations to GP models. At the core of these methods is the assumption that the true posterior distribution over training function values ${\bf f}$ and inducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias

A continuing challenge for machine learning is providing methods to perform computation on data while ensuring the data remains private. In this paper we build on the provable privacy guarantees of differential privacy which has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-23 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Highly accurate datasets from numerical or physical experiments are often expensive and time-consuming to acquire, posing a significant challenge for applications that require precise evaluations, potentially across multiple scenarios and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Attilio Frangi , Andrea Manzoni

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems, so called recurrent models are frequently used. In this paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

In the scenario of real-time monitoring of hospital patients, high-quality inference of patients' health status using all information available from clinical covariates and lab tests is essential to enable successful medical interventions…

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer appealing properties but are costly to train at scale. Sparse variational GP (SVGP) approximations reduce cost yet still rely on Cholesky decompositions of kernel matrices, ill-suited to low-precision,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Stefano Cortinovis , Laurence Aitchison , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Mark van der Wilk

We introduce a new class of inter-domain variational Gaussian processes (GP) where data is mapped onto the unit hypersphere in order to use spherical harmonic representations. Our inference scheme is comparable to variational Fourier…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Vincent Dutordoir , Nicolas Durrande , James Hensman

Preferential Bayesian Optimization (PBO) aims to find a decision-maker's most preferred solution in as few pairwise comparisons as possible. Existing approaches rely on Gaussian Process (GP) surrogates, which provide strong performance but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Nick Leenders , Thomas Quadt , Boris Cule , Roy Lindelauf , Herman Monsuur , Joost van Oijen , Mark Voskuijl