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The task of statistical inference, which includes the building of confidence intervals and tests for parameters and effects of interest to a researcher, is still an open area of investigation in a differentially private (DP) setting.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Ogonnaya Michael Romanus , Younes Boulaguiem , Roberto Molinari

In this contribution we derive and analyze a new numerical method for kinetic equations based on a variable transformation of the moment approximation. Classical minimum-entropy moment closures are a class of reduced models for kinetic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-22 Tobias Leibner , Mario Ohlberger

In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

We introduce an independence criterion based on entropy regularized optimal transport. Our criterion can be used to test for independence between two samples. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for our test statistic and study its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-21 Lang Liu , Soumik Pal , Zaid Harchaoui

Let $(Y,X_1,...,X_m)$ be a random vector. It is desired to predict $Y$ based on $(X_1,...,X_m)$. Examples of prediction methods are regression, classification using logistic regression or separating hyperplanes, and so on. We consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eitan Greenshtein

Maximization of an expensive, unimodal function under random observations has been an important problem in hyperparameter tuning. It features expensive function evaluations (which means small budgets) and a high level of noise. We develop…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-23 Xiaohe Luo , Warren B. Powell

Checklists are simple decision aids that are often used to promote safety and reliability in clinical applications. In this paper, we present a method to learn checklists for clinical decision support. We represent predictive checklists as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Haoran Zhang , Quaid Morris , Berk Ustun , Marzyeh Ghassemi

We propose a novel method for selective classification (SC), a problem which allows a classifier to abstain from predicting some instances, thus trading off accuracy against coverage (the fraction of instances predicted). In contrast to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Aditya Gangrade , Anil Kag , Venkatesh Saligrama

This paper introduces an innovative method for conducting conditional independence testing in high-dimensional data, facilitating the automated discovery of significant associations within distinct subgroups of a population, all while…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Matteo Sesia , Tianshu Sun

In this paper, we present a method for factor analysis of discrete data. This is accomplished by fitting a dependent Poisson model with a factor structure. To be able to analyze ordinal data, we also consider a truncated Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-13 Rolf Larsson

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

Determining the strength of non-linear statistical dependencies between two variables is a crucial matter in many research fields. The established measure for quantifying such relations is the mutual information. However, estimating mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

Sequential recommender systems have achieved steady gains in offline accuracy, yet it remains unclear how close current models are to the intrinsic accuracy limit imposed by the data. A reliable, model-agnostic estimate of this ceiling…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-04-15 En Xu , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sacha Braun , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

The efficacy of robust optimization spans a variety of settings with uncertainties bounded in predetermined sets. In many applications, uncertainties are affected by decisions and cannot be modeled with current frameworks. This paper takes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Bayesian optimal experimental design provides a principled framework for selecting experimental settings that maximize obtained information. In this work, we focus on estimating the expected information gain in the setting where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Chuntao Chen , Tapio Helin , Nuutti Hyvönen , Yuya Suzuki

A method for estimating the Shannon differential entropy of multidimensional random variables using independent samples is described. The method is based on decomposing the distribution into a product of the marginal distributions and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

Exponential models of distributions are widely used in machine learning for classiffication and modelling. It is well known that they can be interpreted as maximum entropy models under empirical expectation constraints. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Amir Globerson , Naftali Tishby