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Entropic causal inference is a framework for inferring the causal direction between two categorical variables from observational data. The central assumption is that the amount of unobserved randomness in the system is not too large. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Spencer Compton , Murat Kocaoglu , Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz

How low can the joint entropy of $n$ $d$-wise independent (for $d\ge2$) discrete random variables be, subject to given constraints on the individual distributions (say, no value may be taken by a variable with probability greater than $p$,…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Dmytro Gavinsky , Pavel Pudlák

Reliable data-driven estimation of Shannon entropy from small data sets, where the number of examples is potentially smaller than the number of possible outcomes, is a critical matter in several applications. In this paper, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Gabriel F. A. Bastos , Jugurta Montalvão

The way that people make choices or exhibit preferences can be strongly affected by the set of available alternatives, often called the choice set. Furthermore, there are usually heterogeneous preferences, either at an individual level…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Kiran Tomlinson , Austin R. Benson

We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Maitreyi Swaroop , Tamar Krishnamurti , Bryan Wilder

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage. However, recent studies have shown that integrating confidence calibration with CP can lead to a degradation in efficiency. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Rui Luo , Nicolo Colombo

In today's data driven world, storing, processing, and gleaning insights from large-scale data are major challenges. Data compression is often required in order to store large amounts of high-dimensional data, and thus, efficient inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-11 Denali Molitor , Deanna Needell

This paper presents a conformal prediction method for classification in highly imbalanced and open-set settings, where there are many possible classes and not all may be represented in the data. Existing approaches require a finite, known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Tianmin Xie , Yanfei Zhou , Ziyi Liang , Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

Learning compact and interpretable representations is a very natural task, which has not been solved satisfactorily even for simple binary datasets. In this paper, we review various ways of composing experts for binary data and argue that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Marc Goessling , Yali Amit

Conformal methods provide prediction sets for outcomes with confidence guarantees. We study their use in a selective inference setting, where inference is performed only when the prediction set is informative. The analyst may consider as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Israela Solomon , Etienne Roquain , Saharon Rosset , Ruth Heller

The goal of confidence-set learning in the binary classification setting is to construct two sets, each with a specific probability guarantee to cover a class. An observation outside the overlap of the two sets is deemed to be from one of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Wenbo Wang , Xingye Qiao

We consider the binary classification problem in a setup that preserves the privacy of the original sample. We provide a privacy mechanism that is locally differentially private and then construct a classifier based on the private sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Thomas Berrett , Cristina Butucea

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

This paper presents and analyzes an approach to cluster-based inference for dependent data. The primary setting considered here is with spatially indexed data in which the dependence structure of observed random variables is characterized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Jianfei Cao , Christian Hansen , Damian Kozbur , Lucciano Villacorta

Extracting low-dimensional summary statistics from large datasets is essential for efficient (likelihood-free) inference. We characterize three different classes of summaries and demonstrate their importance for correctly analyzing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

While variable selection is essential to optimize the learning complexity by prioritizing features, automating the selection process is preferred since it requires laborious efforts with intensive analysis otherwise. However, it is not an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Makiya Nakashima , Alex Sim , Youngsoo Kim , Jonghyun Kim , Jinoh Kim

We propose a method for feature selection that employs kernel-based measures of independence to find a subset of covariates that is maximally predictive of the response. Building on past work in kernel dimension reduction, we show how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-23 Jianbo Chen , Mitchell Stern , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

The ability to remove unwanted dependencies from data is crucial in various domains, including fairness, robust learning, and privacy protection. In this work, we propose an encoder-based approach that learns a representation independent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Kathleen Anderson , Thomas Martinetz

We propose a new estimator to measure directed dependencies in time series. The dimensionality of data is first reduced using a new non-uniform embedding technique, where the variables are ranked according to a weighted sum of the amount of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Payam Shahsavari Baboukani , Carina Graversen , Emina Alickovic , Jan Østergaard