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We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

The shortest-path, commute time, and diffusion distances on undirected graphs have been widely employed in applications such as dimensionality reduction, link prediction, and trip planning. Increasingly, there is interest in using…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Zachary M. Boyd , Nicolas Fraiman , Jeremy L. Marzuola , Peter J. Mucha , Braxton Osting , Jonathan Weare

Suppose that $\mathcal C$ is a finite collection of patterns. Observe a Markov chain until one of the patterns in $\mathcal C$ occurs as a run. This time is denoted by $\tau$. In this paper, we aim to give an easy way to calculate the mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Min-Zhi Zhao , Dong Xu , Hui-Zeng Zhang

First-passage properties are central to the kinetics of target-search processes. Theoretical approaches so far primarily focused on predicting first-passage statistics for a given process or model. In practice, however, one faces the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-08 Rick Bebon , Aljaz Godec

In this paper, we study Markov-dependent reflected autoregressive processes, and other related models the analysis of which results in a vector-valued fixed-point functional equation of a certain type. In queueing terms, such processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

For a controllable linear time-varying (LTV) pair $(\boldsymbol{A}_t,\boldsymbol{B}_t)$ and $\boldsymbol{Q}_{t}$ positive semidefinite, we derive the Markov kernel for the It\^{o} diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Alexis M. H. Teter , Wenqing Wang , Sachin Shivakumar , Abhishek Halder

The main subject of the study in this paper is the simultaneous renewal time for two time-inhomogeneous Markov chains which start with arbitrary initial distributions. By a simultaneous renewal we mean the first time of joint hitting the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Vitaliy Golomoziy

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

We consider irreversible Markov chains on finite commutative rings randomly generated using both addition and multiplication. We restrict ourselves to the case where the addition is uniformly random and multiplication is arbitrary. We first…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla

In this article, we analyze three classes of time-reversal of a Markov process with Gaussian noise on a manifold. We first unveil a commutativity constraint for the most general of these time-reversals to be well defined. Then we give a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-09 Jérémy O'Byrne , Michael E. Cates

We study quantum Markov chains on graphs, described by completely positive maps, following the model due to S. Gudder (J. Math. Phys. 49, 072105, 2008) and which includes the dynamics given by open quantum random walks as defined by S.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-10 Carlos F. Lardizabal

Conditions on the generator of a Markov process to control the fluctuations of its bridges are found. In particular, continuous time random walks on graphs and gradient diffusions are considered. Under these conditions, a concentration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Giovanni Conforti

We present a nonparametric prior over reversible Markov chains. We use completely random measures, specifically gamma processes, to construct a countably infinite graph with weighted edges. By enforcing symmetry to make the edges undirected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-18 Konstantina Palla , David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

The mixing time of a Markov chain determines how fast the iterates of the Markov chain converge to the stationary distribution; however, it does not control the dependencies between samples along the Markov chain. In this paper, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Jiaming Liang , Siddharth Mitra , Andre Wibisono

Consider a parametric statistical model $P(\mathrm{d}x|\theta)$ and an improper prior distribution $\nu(\mathrm{d}\theta)$ that together yield a (proper) formal posterior distribution $Q(\mathrm{d}\theta|x)$. The prior is called strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-14 James P. Hobert , Aixin Tan , Ruitao Liu

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

For the random interval partition of $[0,1]$ generated by the uniform stick-breaking scheme known as GEM$(1)$, let $u_k$ be the probability that the first $k$ intervals created by the stick-breaking scheme are also the first $k$ intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Jean-Jil Duchamps , Jim Pitman , Wenpin Tang

The first passage times for enzymatic turnovers in non-equilibrium steady state display a statistical symmetry property related to non-equilibrium fluctuation theorems, that makes it possible to extract the chemical driving force from…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-12-10 Martin Lindén

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

We put forward a novel approach to study the evolution of an arbitrary open quantum system under a resetting process. Using the framework of renewal equations, we find a universal behavior for the mean first return time that goes beyond…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-01-14 Andreu Riera-Campeny , Jan Ollé , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas