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Context: Software engineering has a problem in that when we empirically evaluate competing prediction systems we obtain conflicting results. Objective: To reduce the inconsistency amongst validation study results and provide a more formal…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Martin Shepperd , Stephen G. MacDonell

Current machine learning models are evaluated through behavioral snapshots, with benchmark accuracies, win rates and outcome-based metrics. Model explanations and evaluations, however, are fundamentally intertwined: understanding why a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Isabelle Lee , Emmy Liu , Cathy Jiao , Brihi Joshi , Dani Yogatama , Fazl Barez , Michael Saxon

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

The predictive performance of any inferential model is critical to its practical success, but quantifying predictive performance is a subtle statistical problem. In this paper I show how the natural structure of any inferential problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-09 Michael Betancourt

Evaluating competing systems in a comparable way, i.e., benchmarking them, is an undeniable pillar of the scientific method. However, system performance is often summarized via a small number of metrics. The analysis of the evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Quannian Zhang , Michael Röder , Nikit Srivastava , N'Dah Jean Kouagou , Axel-Cyrille Ngonga Ngomo

Model evaluation -- the process of making inferences about the performance of predictive models -- is a critical component of predictive modeling research in learning analytics. We survey the state of the practice with respect to model…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

Scientific understanding is a fundamental goal of science, allowing us to explain the world. There is currently no good way to measure the scientific understanding of agents, whether these be humans or Artificial Intelligence systems.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Kristian Gonzalez Barman , Sascha Caron , Tom Claassen , Henk de Regt

Reliable and robust evaluation methods are a necessary first step towards developing machine learning models that are themselves robust and reliable. Unfortunately, current evaluation protocols typically used to assess classifiers fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Michael W. Spratling

Predictive modeling uncovers knowledge and insights regarding a hypothesized data generating mechanism (DGM). Results from different studies on a complex DGM, derived from different data sets, and using complicated models and algorithms,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-21 Anna L. Smith , Tian Zheng , Andrew Gelman

Machine learning practice in institutional decision-support contexts -- government, public policy, public health, criminal justice, resource allocation -- rests on a set of largely unexamined epistemological commitments inherited from…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Adolfo De Unánue , Fernanda Sobrino

Machine reading comprehension (MRC) has received considerable attention as a benchmark for natural language understanding. However, the conventional task design of MRC lacks explainability beyond the model interpretation, i.e., reading…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Saku Sugawara , Pontus Stenetorp , Akiko Aizawa

Reinforcement learning has recently experienced increased prominence in the machine learning community. There are many approaches to solving reinforcement learning problems with new techniques developed constantly. When solving problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Belinda Stapelberg , Katherine M. Malan

Benchmarking models is a key factor for the rapid progress in machine learning (ML) research. Thus, further progress depends on improving benchmarking metrics. A standard metric to measure the behavioral alignment between ML models and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-10 Thomas Klein , Sascha Meyen , Wieland Brendel , Felix A. Wichmann , Kristof Meding

The evaluation of supervised machine learning models is a critical stage in the development of reliable predictive systems. Despite the widespread availability of machine learning libraries and automated workflows, model assessment is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Xuanyan Liu , Ignacio Cabrera Martin , Marcello Trovati , Xiaolong Xu , Nikolaos Polatidis

Uncertainty estimation in machine learning has traditionally focused on the prediction stage, aiming to quantify confidence in model outputs while treating learned representations as deterministic and reliable by default. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Yiyao Yang

The measurable properties of the artifacts or objects in the computer, management, or finance disciplines are extrinsic, not inherent -- dependent on their problem definitions and solution instantiations. Only after the instantiation can…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Jianfeng Zhan

The development of state-of-the-art systems in different applied areas of machine learning (ML) is driven by benchmarks, which have shaped the paradigm of evaluating generalisation capabilities from multiple perspectives. Although the…

Language model benchmarks are pervasive and computationally-efficient proxies for real-world performance. However, many recent works find that benchmarks often fail to predict real utility. Towards bridging this gap, we introduce benchmark…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Marco Gutierrez , Xinyi Leng , Hannah Cyberey , Jonathan Richard Schwarz , Ahmed Alaa , Thomas Hartvigsen

Benchmarks are the de facto standard for tracking progress in large language models (LLMs), yet static test sets can rapidly saturate, become vulnerable to contamination, and are costly to refresh. Scalable evaluation of open-ended items…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yandan Zheng , Haoran Luo , Zhenghong Lin , Wenjin Liu , Luu Anh Tuan

The selection, development, or comparison of machine learning methods in data mining can be a difficult task based on the target problem and goals of a particular study. Numerous publicly available real-world and simulated benchmark…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-03 Randal S. Olson , William La Cava , Patryk Orzechowski , Ryan J. Urbanowicz , Jason H. Moore