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A Unified Treatment of Predictive Model Comparison

Methodology 2015-06-09 v1

Abstract

The predictive performance of any inferential model is critical to its practical success, but quantifying predictive performance is a subtle statistical problem. In this paper I show how the natural structure of any inferential problem defines a canonical measure of relative predictive performance and then demonstrate how approximations of this measure yield many of the model comparison techniques popular in statistics and machine learning.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1506.02273,
  title  = {A Unified Treatment of Predictive Model Comparison},
  author = {Michael Betancourt},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1506.02273},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

20 pages, 11 figures