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A parameter estimation problem for a class of semilinear stochastic evolution equations is considered. Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are given in terms of growth and continuity properties of the nonlinear part.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Gregor Pasemann , Wilhelm Stannat

This paper clarifies how and why structural demand models (Berry and Haile, 2014, 2024) predict unit-level counterfactual outcomes. We do so by casting structural assumptions equivalently as restrictions on the joint distribution of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Jiafeng Chen

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

This work proposes an adaptive framework to solve a robust structural shape optimization problem governed by linear elasticity models that account for uncertainties in the loading and material inputs. A posteriori error estimators are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Oğuz Han Altıntaş , Hamdullah Yücel

We consider the problem of stabilization of a linear system, under state and control constraints, and subject to bounded disturbances and unknown parameters in the state matrix. First, using a simple least square solution and available…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-22 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros

In this paper we address the challenging problem of designing globally convergent estimators for the parameters of nonlinear systems containing a non-separable exponential nonlinearity. This class of terms appears in many practical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Ramon Costa-Castello , Nikolay Nikolaev

We propose a latent score-based generative AI framework for learning stochastic, non-local closure models and constitutive laws in nonlinear dynamical systems of computational mechanics. This work addresses a key challenge of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Xinghao Dong , Huchen Yang , Jin-Long Wu

Discrete-time stochastic systems are an essential modelling tool for many engineering systems. We consider stochastic control systems that are evolving over continuous spaces. For this class of models, methods for the formal verification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

Performative prediction is an emerging paradigm in machine learning that addresses scenarios where the model's prediction may induce a shift in the distribution of the data it aims to predict. Current works in this field often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

We study adaptive estimation and inference in ill-posed linear inverse problems defined by conditional moment restrictions. Existing regularized estimators such as Regularized DeepIV (RDIV) require prior knowledge of the smoothness of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Jiyuan Tan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We consider causal inference in dynamic settings where treatment is assigned by thresholding a state variable that can change over time. There is a large literature on regression-discontinuity methods building on the fact that, in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Aditya Ghosh , Stefan Wager

Many structural econometric models include latent variables on whose probability distributions one may wish to place minimal restrictions. Leading examples in panel data models are individual-specific variables sometimes treated as "fixed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Andrew Chesher , Adam M. Rosen , Yuanqi Zhang

Latent variable models are powerful tools for modeling complex phenomena involving in particular partially observed data, unobserved variables or underlying complex unknown structures. Inference is often difficult due to the latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Charlotte Baey , Maud Delattre , Estelle Kuhn , Jean-Benoist Leger , Sarah Lemler

Learning behavioral patterns from observational data has been a de-facto approach to motion forecasting. Yet, the current paradigm suffers from two shortcomings: brittle under distribution shifts and inefficient for knowledge transfer. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Yuejiang Liu , Riccardo Cadei , Jonas Schweizer , Sherwin Bahmani , Alexandre Alahi

This article proposes a spatial dynamic structural equation model for the analysis of housing prices at the State level in the USA. The study contributes to the existing literature by extending the use of dynamic factor models to the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-23 Pasquale Valentini , Luigi Ippoliti , Lara Fontanella

We present a framework for constructing physics and causally constrained neural models of turbulent dynamical systems from data. We first formulate a finite-time flow map with strict energy-preserving nonlinearities for stable modeling of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Fabrizio Falasca , Laure Zanna

Mechanistic growth models play a major role in bioprocess engineering, design, and control. Their reasonable predictive power and their high level of interpretability make them an essential tool for computer aided engineering methods.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-07 Judit Aizpuru , Maxim Borisyak , Peter Neubauer , M. Nicolas Cruz Bournazou

Recent work in unsupervised representation learning has focused on learning deep directed latent-variable models. Fitting these models by maximizing the marginal likelihood or evidence is typically intractable, thus a common approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-15 Alexander A. Alemi , Ben Poole , Ian Fischer , Joshua V. Dillon , Rif A. Saurous , Kevin Murphy